Bo5 · BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1
· 2026-05-03
Natus Vincere
vs
Vitality
32%
68%
Series win probability
VIT
3–1
36%
VIT
3–0
21%
NAVI
3–2
20%
VIT
3–2
12%
NAVI
3–1
7%
Model Insights
Vitality has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 3 of 5 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.18 vs 1.08), a strong dust2 (74% win probability). Natus Vincere's best shot is anubis where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps
5 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Inferno · Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Inferno
NAVI
7
–
13
VIT
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map Player Rating
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
13-4
vs Aurora
Apr 15
4-13
vs B8
Apr 13
7-13
vs Vitality
Mar 29
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 28
13-9
vs Falcons
Mar 20
Vitality
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-7
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
16-12
vs PARIVISION
Mar 23
16-13
vs PARIVISION
Feb 22
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
9
VIT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Map Player Rating
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
CT Side
NAVI
VIT
Sniper Score
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
11-13
vs Aurora
Apr 15
13-3
vs FURIA
Apr 14
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 28
Vitality
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
16-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-6
vs FUT
Apr 29
16-13
vs Spirit
Apr 19
13-4
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 17
Dust2
NAVI
6
–
13
VIT
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map Player Rating
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
13-5
vs FaZe
May 2
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
13-7
vs HOTU
Apr 15
13-4
vs Aurora
Apr 15
4-13
vs FURIA
Apr 14
Vitality
13-3
vs G2
Apr 30
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 29
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 19
13-6
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 17
13-6
vs Falcons
Apr 15
Nuke
NAVI
7
–
13
VIT
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map Player Rating
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
13-16
vs FURIA
Apr 14
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 23
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 15
7-13
vs The MongolZ
Feb 17
13-10
vs Astralis
Feb 14
Vitality
13-11
vs FUT
Apr 29
13-10
vs Spirit
Apr 19
14-16
vs Falcons
Apr 15
13-4
vs RED Canids
Apr 13
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
Anubis
NAVI
13
–
10
VIT
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Map Player Rating
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 29
10-13
vs Vitality
Mar 29
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 23
11-13
vs Aurora
Mar 15
13-9
vs Aurora
Feb 16
Vitality
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-8
vs G2
Feb 14
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Natus Vincere
Vitality
W
2-0
vs FaZe
Dust2Ancient
May 2
1d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageAncient
Apr 30
3d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
AnubisAncient
Apr 29
4d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2
Apr 17
16d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
Dust2Ancient
Apr 15
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Aurora
InfernoMirageDust2
Apr 15
18d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 14
19d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
AncientInfernoDust2
Apr 13
20d ago
L
0-3
vs Vitality
InfernoAnubisDust2
Mar 29
35d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
Dust2InfernoMirage
Mar 28
36d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
AnubisNuke
Mar 23
41d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageOverpass
May 2
1d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
MirageOverpassDust2
Apr 30
3d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 29
4d ago
W
3-0
vs Spirit
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 19
14d ago
W
2-0
vs FURIA
OverpassAncient
Apr 18
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Natus Vincere
MirageDust2
Apr 17
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 15
18d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 14
19d ago
W
2-0
vs RED Canids
NukeOverpass
Apr 13
20d ago
W
3-0
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoAnubisDust2
Mar 29
35d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
InfernoNuke
Mar 28
36d ago
Player Matchups
Natus Vincere
Ratings
Vitality
MA
makazze
RiflerADR 84.5KAST 75%
ZY
ZywOo
AWPADR 89.2KAST 79%
B1
b1t
RiflerADR 73.8KAST 74%
FL
flameZ
RiflerADR 80.3KAST 77%
W0
w0nderful
AWPADR 70.6KAST 75%
RO
ropz
EntryADR 76.8KAST 77%
IM
iM
EntryADR 78.5KAST 73%
ME
mezii
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 77%
AL
Aleksib
RiflerADR 61.3KAST 73%
AP
apEX
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Overpass
NAVI
7
–
13
VIT
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Opening Kills
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Overpass
Natus Vincere
no data
Vitality
16-14
vs GamerLegion
May 2
11-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
13-6
vs RED Canids
Apr 13
16-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 21
Ancient
NAVI
9
–
13
VIT
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Opening Kills
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
13-11
vs FaZe
May 2
13-4
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
13-11
vs FaZe
Apr 29
13-9
vs HOTU
Apr 15
13-0
vs B8
Apr 13
Vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
25-22
vs Aurora
Feb 3