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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · 2026-05-07
MOUZ NXT
vs
Lavked
23%
77%
Series win probability
LAVK 2–1 42%
LAVK 2–0 35%
MN 2–0 16%
MN 2–1 7%
Actual result
Mirage 13–11 LAVK
Dust2 13–11 MN
Ancient 13–7 LAVK
Model Insights
Lavked is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 0.97), a strong ancient (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 55% Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 34% Mirage · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3 11% Mirage · Nuke · Overpass
Mirage
MN 10 13 LAVK
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
3-13 vs Ursa May 4
14-16 vs UNiTY Apr 27
10-13 vs acend Apr 22
13-9 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
13-4 vs Ursa Apr 19
Lavked
14-16 vs TNC May 6
13-10 vs UNiTY May 6
11-13 vs Walczaki May 5
13-11 vs Phantom May 4
13-11 vs Omega May 3
Nuke
MN 7 13 LAVK
37%
63%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs Ursa May 4
23-25 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 17
Lavked
13-11 vs The Last Resort May 6
12-16 vs Walczaki May 5
3-13 vs Omega May 3
13-10 vs GenOne May 3
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 1
Ancient
MN 5 13 LAVK
14%
86%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
After First Death
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ NXT
13-9 vs UNiTY Apr 27
20-22 vs acend Apr 22
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
7-13 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 19
Lavked
8-13 vs TNC May 6
13-3 vs Phantom May 4
13-10 vs GenOne May 3
13-4 vs CYBERSHOKE May 2
13-6 vs Leo Apr 28
Mirage
MN 10 13 LAVK
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
3-13 vs Ursa May 4
14-16 vs UNiTY Apr 27
10-13 vs acend Apr 22
13-9 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
13-4 vs Ursa Apr 19
Lavked
14-16 vs TNC May 6
13-10 vs UNiTY May 6
11-13 vs Walczaki May 5
13-11 vs Phantom May 4
13-11 vs Omega May 3
Nuke
MN 7 13 LAVK
37%
63%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs Ursa May 4
23-25 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 17
Lavked
13-11 vs The Last Resort May 6
12-16 vs Walczaki May 5
3-13 vs Omega May 3
13-10 vs GenOne May 3
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 1
Dust2
MN 8 13 LAVK
32%
68%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
T Side
MN
LAVK
Map Firepower
MN
LAVK
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
13-5 vs Ursa May 4
7-13 vs UNiTY Apr 27
16-14 vs Ursa Apr 19
Lavked
13-7 vs UNiTY May 6
13-5 vs The Last Resort May 6
10-13 vs Phantom May 4
13-10 vs Omega May 3
7-13 vs GenOne May 3
Mirage
MN 10 13 LAVK
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
3-13 vs Ursa May 4
14-16 vs UNiTY Apr 27
10-13 vs acend Apr 22
13-9 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
13-4 vs Ursa Apr 19
Lavked
14-16 vs TNC May 6
13-10 vs UNiTY May 6
11-13 vs Walczaki May 5
13-11 vs Phantom May 4
13-11 vs Omega May 3
Nuke
MN 7 13 LAVK
37%
63%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs Ursa May 4
23-25 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 20
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 17
Lavked
13-11 vs The Last Resort May 6
12-16 vs Walczaki May 5
3-13 vs Omega May 3
13-10 vs GenOne May 3
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 1
Overpass
MN 9 13 LAVK
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Overall Rating
MN
LAVK
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
13-9 vs Rebels Apr 30
13-9 vs Hashiras Apr 9
13-16 vs G2 Ares Apr 2
3-13 vs QUAZAR Mar 30
9-13 vs Atreides Mar 23
Recent Results last 11 matches
MOUZ NXT
Lavked
L 1-2 vs Ursa Dust2MirageNuke May 4 42d ago
L 1-2 vs UNiTY AncientMirageDust2 Apr 27 49d ago
L 0-2 vs acend MirageAncient Apr 22 54d ago
L 1-2 vs CYBERSHOKE MirageAncientNuke Apr 20 56d ago
W 2-0 vs Ursa Dust2Mirage Apr 19 57d ago
L 0-1 vs EYEBALLERS Ancient Apr 19 57d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeMirage Apr 17 59d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC MirageAncient May 6 40d ago
W 2-1 vs UNiTY InfernoMirageDust2 May 6 40d ago
W 2-1 vs The Last Resort InfernoDust2Nuke May 6 40d ago
L 0-2 vs Walczaki MirageNuke May 5 41d ago
W 2-1 vs Phantom MirageDust2Ancient May 4 42d ago
W 2-1 vs Omega NukeMirageDust2 May 3 43d ago
W 2-1 vs GenOne Dust2NukeAncient May 3 43d ago
W 2-0 vs CYBERSHOKE MirageAncient May 2 44d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Dust2Nuke May 1 45d ago
W 2-0 vs Rebels NukeOverpass Apr 30 46d ago
W 2-0 vs Hashiras InfernoNuke Apr 29 47d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ NXT
Ratings
Lavked
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 71.7KAST 71%
1.00 vs 1.16
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 82.4KAST 73%
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 70%
0.96 vs 1.14
XM
xm1nd
AWPADR 74.6KAST 74%
AY
ay0k
AWPADR 66.5KAST 70%
0.96 vs 1.05
1N
1NVISIBLEE
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 70%
vs 1.03
K4
k4nfuz
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 74%
vs 1.01
SO
sol
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
MN 5 13 LAVK
13%
87%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
After First Death
MN
LAVK
Opening Kills
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
7-13 vs UNiTY May 6
3-13 vs The Last Resort May 6
13-9 vs Hashiras Apr 29
13-5 vs G2 Ares Apr 26
12-16 vs SPARTA Apr 25
Dust2
MN 8 13 LAVK
32%
68%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
T Side
MN
LAVK
Map Firepower
MN
LAVK
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
13-5 vs Ursa May 4
7-13 vs UNiTY Apr 27
16-14 vs Ursa Apr 19
Lavked
13-7 vs UNiTY May 6
13-5 vs The Last Resort May 6
10-13 vs Phantom May 4
13-10 vs Omega May 3
7-13 vs GenOne May 3
Overpass
MN 9 13 LAVK
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Map ADR
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Overall Rating
MN
LAVK
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
13-9 vs Rebels Apr 30
13-9 vs Hashiras Apr 9
13-16 vs G2 Ares Apr 2
3-13 vs QUAZAR Mar 30
9-13 vs Atreides Mar 23
Anubis
MN 11 13 LAVK
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Overall Rating
MN
LAVK
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
10-13 vs FAVBET Apr 21
7-13 vs arcred Apr 14
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 14
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