Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-05-06
TNC
vs
Phantom
30%
70%
Series win probability
PHAN
2–0
46%
PHAN
2–1
25%
TNC
2–1
21%
TNC
2–0
8%
Model Insights
Phantom is strongly favored at 70%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 0.99), a significant ranking advantage (#99 vs #142), a strong ancient (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Ancient · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2
32%
Ancient · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3
29%
Ancient · Nuke · Overpass
Ancient
TNC
6
–
13
PHAN
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Map Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
TNC
19-16
vs UNiTY
May 4
19-16
vs UNiTY
May 1
13-6
vs GenOne
Apr 28
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
11-13
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 20
Phantom
10-13
vs GenOne
May 5
3-13
vs Lavked
May 4
13-4
vs aAa
May 3
5-13
vs fnatic
Apr 30
13-11
vs GenOne
Apr 29
Nuke
TNC
10
–
13
PHAN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Map Player Rating
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
TNC
12-16
vs GenOne
Apr 28
5-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 24
13-9
vs Rebels
Apr 20
16-14
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 19
10-13
vs elitenergy
Apr 7
Phantom
13-9
vs GenOne
May 5
13-10
vs aAa
Apr 28
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Apr 27
10-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 25
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
Dust2
TNC
10
–
13
PHAN
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Map Player Rating
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
TNC
2-13
vs GenOne
Apr 28
13-11
vs Clutchain
Apr 24
13-6
vs Rebels
Apr 20
6-13
vs sashi
Apr 15
13-9
vs MANA
Apr 6
Phantom
13-10
vs GenOne
May 5
13-10
vs Lavked
May 4
13-10
vs aAa
May 3
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 29
4-13
vs aAa
Apr 28
Ancient
TNC
6
–
13
PHAN
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Map Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
TNC
19-16
vs UNiTY
May 4
19-16
vs UNiTY
May 1
13-6
vs GenOne
Apr 28
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
11-13
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 20
Phantom
10-13
vs GenOne
May 5
3-13
vs Lavked
May 4
13-4
vs aAa
May 3
5-13
vs fnatic
Apr 30
13-11
vs GenOne
Apr 29
Nuke
TNC
10
–
13
PHAN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Map Player Rating
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
TNC
12-16
vs GenOne
Apr 28
5-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 24
13-9
vs Rebels
Apr 20
16-14
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 19
10-13
vs elitenergy
Apr 7
Phantom
13-9
vs GenOne
May 5
13-10
vs aAa
Apr 28
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Apr 27
10-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 25
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
Mirage
TNC
9
–
13
PHAN
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Map Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
TNC
13-5
vs UNiTY
May 4
11-13
vs megoshort
May 3
11-13
vs UNiTY
May 1
10-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 24
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
Phantom
11-13
vs Lavked
May 4
13-8
vs The Last Resort
Apr 27
13-11
vs RUSTEC
Apr 26
13-8
vs Atreides
Apr 23
14-16
vs Lavked
Apr 15
Ancient
TNC
6
–
13
PHAN
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Map Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
TNC
19-16
vs UNiTY
May 4
19-16
vs UNiTY
May 1
13-6
vs GenOne
Apr 28
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
11-13
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 20
Phantom
10-13
vs GenOne
May 5
3-13
vs Lavked
May 4
13-4
vs aAa
May 3
5-13
vs fnatic
Apr 30
13-11
vs GenOne
Apr 29
Nuke
TNC
10
–
13
PHAN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Map Player Rating
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
TNC
12-16
vs GenOne
Apr 28
5-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 24
13-9
vs Rebels
Apr 20
16-14
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 19
10-13
vs elitenergy
Apr 7
Phantom
13-9
vs GenOne
May 5
13-10
vs aAa
Apr 28
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Apr 27
10-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 25
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
Overpass
TNC
8
–
13
PHAN
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
TNC
13-16
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
8-13
vs elitenergy
Apr 7
8-13
vs Qwentry
Apr 5
13-4
vs Hashiras
Mar 28
9-13
vs STATE
Mar 25
Phantom
9-13
vs metizport
Apr 14
13-10
vs illwill
Feb 23
11-13
vs sashi
Feb 23
13-8
vs sinners
Feb 22
13-7
vs acend
Feb 21
Recent Results
last 11 matches
TNC
Phantom
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
AncientMirage
May 4
2d ago
L
0-2
vs megoshort
MirageAnubis
May 3
3d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
MirageAncientAnubis
May 1
5d ago
L
1-2
vs GenOne
Dust2AncientNuke
Apr 28
8d ago
L
1-2
vs Clutchain
Dust2NukeMirage
Apr 24
12d ago
L
1-2
vs Rune Eaters
AncientMirageOverpass
Apr 23
13d ago
W
2-0
vs Rebels
Dust2Nuke
Apr 20
16d ago
L
0-2
vs zajezdzacze
AncientMirage
Apr 20
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom Academy
MirageAncient
Apr 19
17d ago
L
1-2
vs zajezdzacze
NukeMirageAncient
Apr 19
17d ago
W
2-0
vs XI
AnubisAncient
Apr 19
17d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
Dust2AncientNuke
May 5
1d ago
L
1-2
vs Lavked
MirageDust2Ancient
May 4
2d ago
W
2-0
vs aAa
Dust2Ancient
May 3
3d ago
L
0-2
vs fnatic
AncientAnubis
Apr 30
6d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
Dust2Ancient
Apr 29
7d ago
W
2-1
vs aAa
Dust2AncientNuke
Apr 28
8d ago
W
2-1
vs The Last Resort
AncientMirageNuke
Apr 27
9d ago
W
2-0
vs RUSTEC
Dust2Mirage
Apr 26
10d ago
L
1-2
vs Hashiras
Dust2AncientNuke
Apr 25
11d ago
W
2-1
vs Atreides
MirageAncientDust2
Apr 23
13d ago
L
0-2
vs FAVBET
AncientDust2
Apr 18
18d ago
Player Matchups
TNC
Ratings
Phantom
AD
AdrieN
AWPADR 75.4KAST 70%
KY
Kylar
EntryADR 73.1KAST 73%
MA
maaryy
EntryADR 72.9KAST 73%
KE
KEi
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 72%
YV
yvro
RiflerADR 73.3KAST 71%
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 69.7KAST 71%
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
TNC
8
–
13
PHAN
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Opening Score
TNC
PHAN
1v1 Clutches
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Inferno
TNC
no data
Phantom
no data
Overpass
TNC
8
–
13
PHAN
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
TNC
13-16
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
8-13
vs elitenergy
Apr 7
8-13
vs Qwentry
Apr 5
13-4
vs Hashiras
Mar 28
9-13
vs STATE
Mar 25
Phantom
9-13
vs metizport
Apr 14
13-10
vs illwill
Feb 23
11-13
vs sashi
Feb 23
13-8
vs sinners
Feb 22
13-7
vs acend
Feb 21
Mirage
TNC
9
–
13
PHAN
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
Schedule Strength
TNC
PHAN
Map Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Sniper Score
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
TNC
13-5
vs UNiTY
May 4
11-13
vs megoshort
May 3
11-13
vs UNiTY
May 1
10-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 24
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 23
Phantom
11-13
vs Lavked
May 4
13-8
vs The Last Resort
Apr 27
13-11
vs RUSTEC
Apr 26
13-8
vs Atreides
Apr 23
14-16
vs Lavked
Apr 15
Anubis
TNC
14
–
16
PHAN
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TNC
PHAN
After First Death
TNC
PHAN
Round Win Rate
TNC
PHAN
Ranking
TNC
PHAN
Opening Kills
TNC
PHAN
Recent on Anubis
TNC
11-13
vs megoshort
May 3
13-7
vs UNiTY
May 1
13-2
vs XI
Apr 19
13-3
vs Persona Grata
Mar 30
Phantom
13-16
vs fnatic
Apr 30
13-8
vs ASTRAL
Mar 24
13-5
vs ASTRAL
Mar 5
9-13
vs Lazer Cats
Feb 26
10-13
vs alliance
Feb 17
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier
3 matches