Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  CS Asia Championships 2026 · 2026-05-21
MOUZ ✓
vs
paiN
65%
35%
Series win probability
MOUZ 2–0 46%
MOUZ 2–1 34%
PAIN 2–1 10%
PAIN 2–0 10%
Actual result
Nuke 13–4 MOUZ
Overpass 13–7 MOUZ
Model Insights
MOUZ is strongly favored at 80%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (77% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Inferno · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2 29% Inferno · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3 28% Inferno · Nuke · Dust2
Inferno
MOUZ 13 – 7 PAIN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Firepower
MOUZ
PAIN
CT 4v5
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
10-13 vs M80 May 21
7-13 vs TYLOO May 19
13-7 vs magic May 17
13-4 vs 9z May 11
13-7 vs G2 May 9
paiN
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
9-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-11 vs lp Mar 27
Nuke
MOUZ 13 – 10 PAIN
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-8 vs Aurora May 14
10-13 vs 9z May 11
19-15 vs Aurora May 11
paiN
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
13-6 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Mirage
MOUZ 13 – 6 PAIN
77%
23%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Firepower
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
13-10 vs G2 May 9
paiN
13-5 vs TYLOO May 21
8-13 vs M80 May 19
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-5 vs Galorys Apr 1
Inferno
MOUZ 13 – 7 PAIN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Firepower
MOUZ
PAIN
CT 4v5
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
10-13 vs M80 May 21
7-13 vs TYLOO May 19
13-7 vs magic May 17
13-4 vs 9z May 11
13-7 vs G2 May 9
paiN
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
9-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-11 vs lp Mar 27
Nuke
MOUZ 13 – 10 PAIN
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-8 vs Aurora May 14
10-13 vs 9z May 11
19-15 vs Aurora May 11
paiN
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
13-6 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Overpass
MOUZ 13 – 7 PAIN
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6% ✗
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Ban Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
13-3 vs M80 May 21
13-10 vs FUT Mar 13
13-11 vs The MongolZ Mar 8
13-3 vs Astralis Mar 7
16-14 vs FUT Feb 17
paiN
13-6 vs TYLOO May 21
13-6 vs GamerLegion May 15
10-13 vs FUT May 12
11-13 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
Inferno
MOUZ 13 – 7 PAIN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Firepower
MOUZ
PAIN
CT 4v5
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
10-13 vs M80 May 21
7-13 vs TYLOO May 19
13-7 vs magic May 17
13-4 vs 9z May 11
13-7 vs G2 May 9
paiN
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
9-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-11 vs lp Mar 27
Nuke
MOUZ 13 – 10 PAIN
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-8 vs Aurora May 14
10-13 vs 9z May 11
19-15 vs Aurora May 11
paiN
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
13-6 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Dust2
MOUZ 13 – 6 PAIN
78%
22%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
Map ADR
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Firepower
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
14-16 vs G2 May 9
5-13 vs Spirit Apr 17
paiN
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
13-7 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Recent Results last 11 matches
MOUZ
paiN
W 2-1 vs NRG AncientNukeMirage May 20 26d ago
L 0-1 vs TYLOO Inferno May 19 27d ago
W 2-0 vs magic MirageInferno May 17 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Nuke May 16 30d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora Dust2Nuke May 14 32d ago
L 1-2 vs 9z NukeInfernoAncient May 11 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora Dust2Nuke May 11 35d ago
W 2-1 vs Gentle Mates NukeMirageAncient May 9 37d ago
W 2-1 vs G2 Dust2MirageInferno May 9 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Mirage Apr 17 59d ago
L 0-2 vs FURIA MirageDust2 Apr 15 61d ago
W 2-0 vs BC.Game Dust2Anubis May 20 26d ago
L 0-1 vs M80 Mirage May 19 27d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion OverpassNukeInferno May 15 31d ago
L 1-2 vs BetBoom Dust2NukeAnubis May 13 33d ago
W 2-1 vs FUT NukeOverpassDust2 May 12 34d ago
W 2-0 vs FaZe Dust2Anubis May 11 35d ago
W 3-1 vs Gaimin Gladiators NukeOverpassAnubisDust2 Apr 5 71d ago
W 2-1 vs ShindeN MirageInfernoNuke Apr 4 72d ago
W 2-0 vs Fluxo MirageNuke Apr 4 72d ago
W 2-0 vs ALKA AnubisNuke Apr 1 75d ago
W 2-1 vs Galorys NukeOverpassMirage Apr 1 75d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ
Ratings
paiN
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 84.3KAST 74%
1.16 vs 1.08
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 76.6KAST 72%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 79.9KAST 72%
1.15 vs 1.07
SN
snow
RiflerADR 73.7KAST 72%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 74.3KAST 73%
1.10 vs 1.04
SA
saffee
AWPADR 69.5KAST 71%
JL
jL
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 73%
1.05 vs 1.03
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 71%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 64.1KAST 72%
0.99 vs 0.99
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 70.4KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
MOUZ 13 – 3 PAIN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Ban Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
CT 4v5
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
10-13 vs NRG May 20
9-13 vs 9z May 11
13-5 vs Gentle Mates May 9
13-1 vs The MongolZ Mar 8
14-16 vs Astralis Mar 7
paiN
no data
Dust2
MOUZ 13 – 6 PAIN
78%
22%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
Map ADR
MOUZ
PAIN
Map Firepower
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
14-16 vs G2 May 9
5-13 vs Spirit Apr 17
paiN
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
13-7 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Overpass
MOUZ 13 – 7 PAIN
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Ban Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
13-3 vs M80 May 21
13-10 vs FUT Mar 13
13-11 vs The MongolZ Mar 8
13-3 vs Astralis Mar 7
16-14 vs FUT Feb 17
paiN
13-6 vs TYLOO May 21
13-6 vs GamerLegion May 15
10-13 vs FUT May 12
11-13 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
Anubis
MOUZ 16 – 14 PAIN
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ban Rate
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Kill
MOUZ
PAIN
Ranking
MOUZ
PAIN
After First Death
MOUZ
PAIN
Side Balance
MOUZ
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ
no data
paiN
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
13-7 vs ALKA Apr 1
More from CS Asia Championships 2026 7 matches
The MongolZ over Liquid 64% MOUZ over M80 59% TYLOO over paiN 52% Lynn Vision over PARIVISION 58% Falcons over Legacy 59% MIBR over B8 55% The MongolZ over PARIVISION 57%