Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 2
· 2026-05-28
3DMAX
vs
Alliance
✓
34%
66%
Series win probability
ALLI
2–0
42%
ALLI
2–1
24%
3DMA
2–1
22%
3DMA
2–0
12%
Actual result
Inferno
19–17
ALLI
Dust2
13–9
3DMA
Anubis
13–8
ALLI
Model Insights
Alliance has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#28 vs #23), a strong inferno (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 2
34%
Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 3
30%
Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Dust2
3DMA
9
–
13
ALLI
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
Opening Kills
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
3DMAX
13-9
vs Liquid
May 20
1-13
vs G2
Apr 15
11-13
vs Astralis
Apr 10
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 7
10-13
vs Voca
Apr 5
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-7
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Inferno
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
T Side
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
3DMAX
15-19
vs magic
May 27
11-13
vs Liquid
May 20
6-13
vs G2
Apr 15
10-13
vs Falcons
Apr 13
5-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 11
Alliance
13-7
vs Walczaki
May 24
22-20
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
13-7
vs Lavked
May 8
10-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
2-13
vs M80
Apr 2
Nuke
3DMA
14
–
16
ALLI
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Map Win Rate
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
3DMAX
11-13
vs Liquid
May 20
16-14
vs Liquid
Apr 14
13-9
vs MIBR
Apr 9
13-6
vs B8
Apr 6
7-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 2
Alliance
6-13
vs FaZe
May 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-1
vs Walczaki
May 22
3-13
vs Lavked
May 8
Dust2
3DMA
9
–
13
ALLI
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
Opening Kills
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
3DMAX
13-9
vs Liquid
May 20
1-13
vs G2
Apr 15
11-13
vs Astralis
Apr 10
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 7
10-13
vs Voca
Apr 5
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-7
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Inferno
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
T Side
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
3DMAX
15-19
vs magic
May 27
11-13
vs Liquid
May 20
6-13
vs G2
Apr 15
10-13
vs Falcons
Apr 13
5-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 11
Alliance
13-7
vs Walczaki
May 24
22-20
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
13-7
vs Lavked
May 8
10-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
2-13
vs M80
Apr 2
Anubis
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
✗
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
After First Kill
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Ranking
3DMA
ALLI
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Anubis
3DMAX
9-13
vs MIBR
May 19
13-8
vs Voca
Apr 5
16-13
vs AaB
Mar 31
13-7
vs AaB
Mar 24
7-13
vs M1X KS
Feb 6
Alliance
8-13
vs FaZe
May 27
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
13-7
vs Oxuji
Apr 24
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-0
vs UNiTY
Apr 15
Dust2
3DMA
9
–
13
ALLI
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
Opening Kills
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
3DMAX
13-9
vs Liquid
May 20
1-13
vs G2
Apr 15
11-13
vs Astralis
Apr 10
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 7
10-13
vs Voca
Apr 5
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-7
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Inferno
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
T Side
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
3DMAX
15-19
vs magic
May 27
11-13
vs Liquid
May 20
6-13
vs G2
Apr 15
10-13
vs Falcons
Apr 13
5-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 11
Alliance
13-7
vs Walczaki
May 24
22-20
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
13-7
vs Lavked
May 8
10-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
2-13
vs M80
Apr 2
Overpass
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Opening Kills
3DMA
ALLI
Ranking
3DMA
ALLI
Ban Rate
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Overpass
3DMAX
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 10
16-13
vs WAZABI
Apr 1
13-16
vs AaB
Mar 24
13-8
vs FURIA
Mar 7
7-13
vs Spirit
Mar 6
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
5-13
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Apr 1
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
11-13
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
3DMAX
Alliance
L
0-2
vs magic
AncientInferno
May 27
19d ago
L
1-2
vs Liquid
NukeDust2Inferno
May 20
26d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Anubis
May 19
27d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
InfernoDust2
Apr 15
61d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
NukeAncient
Apr 14
62d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
InfernoAncient
Apr 13
63d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
InfernoAncient
Apr 11
65d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
Dust2Overpass
Apr 10
66d ago
W
2-1
vs MIBR
InfernoAncientNuke
Apr 9
67d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
InfernoDust2
Apr 7
69d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
AncientInfernoNuke
Apr 6
70d ago
L
0-2
vs FaZe
AnubisNuke
May 27
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
NukeInferno
May 24
22d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
InfernoOverpassAncient
May 24
22d ago
L
0-2
vs EYEBALLERS
NukeDust2
May 23
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
NukeDust2
May 22
24d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientAnubis
May 9
37d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
NukeInfernoDust2
May 8
38d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientInferno
Apr 26
50d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
NukeAnubis
Apr 24
52d ago
W
2-1
vs KOLESIE
NukeAnubisDust2
Apr 21
55d ago
W
1-0
vs UNiTY
Anubis
Apr 15
61d ago
Player Matchups
3DMAX
Ratings
Alliance
MI
misutaaa
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 75%
ER
eraa
AWPADR 79.8KAST 75%
LU
Lucky
EntryADR 75.6KAST 75%
MA
MaiL09
EntryADR 80.3KAST 76%
MA
Maka
AWPADR 70.0KAST 73%
AV
avid
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 76%
EX
Ex3rcice
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 71%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 76%
GR
Graviti
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 73%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Ancient
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Opening Kills
3DMA
ALLI
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
CT 4v5
3DMA
ALLI
Map ADR
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
3DMAX
9-13
vs magic
May 27
13-5
vs Liquid
Apr 14
1-13
vs Falcons
Apr 13
2-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 11
16-13
vs MIBR
Apr 9
Alliance
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
13-5
vs Tricked
Apr 13
13-9
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 28
Anubis
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
After First Kill
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Ranking
3DMA
ALLI
After First Death
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Anubis
3DMAX
9-13
vs MIBR
May 19
13-8
vs Voca
Apr 5
16-13
vs AaB
Mar 31
13-7
vs AaB
Mar 24
7-13
vs M1X KS
Feb 6
Alliance
8-13
vs FaZe
May 27
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
13-7
vs Oxuji
Apr 24
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-0
vs UNiTY
Apr 15
Overpass
3DMA
8
–
13
ALLI
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
3DMA
ALLI
Overall Rating
3DMA
ALLI
Opening Kills
3DMA
ALLI
Ranking
3DMA
ALLI
Ban Rate
3DMA
ALLI
Recent on Overpass
3DMAX
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 10
16-13
vs WAZABI
Apr 1
13-16
vs AaB
Mar 24
13-8
vs FURIA
Mar 7
7-13
vs Spirit
Mar 6
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
5-13
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Apr 1
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
11-13
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
More from Stake Ranked Episode 2
3 matches