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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-05-14
GUARA
vs
METANOIA Wolves ✓
38%
62%
Series win probability
MW 2–0 35%
MW 2–1 26%
GUAR 2–1 23%
GUAR 2–0 16%
Actual result
Dust2 13–4 MW
Nuke 16–13 MW
Model Insights
METANOIA Wolves has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (0.99 vs 0.89), a significant ranking advantage (#182 vs #287), a strong dust2 (67% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 55% Inferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 23% Inferno · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 22% Inferno · Dust2 · Anubis
Inferno
GUAR 10 – 13 MW
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
Round Win Rate
GUAR
MW
Recent on Inferno
GUARA
6-13 vs Yawara May 13
6-13 vs Procyon May 12
13-16 vs UNO MILLE Mar 23
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
8-13 vs ShindeN Mar 20
METANOIA Wolves
9-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
13-9 vs Vasco Apr 22
Dust2
GUAR 6 – 13 MW
33%
67%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Round Win Rate
GUAR
MW
Recent on Dust2
GUARA
4-13 vs Yawara May 13
3-13 vs Isurus May 11
4-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 23
13-6 vs atrix Mar 22
0-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
6-13 vs VEXA May 13
10-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
19-16 vs Turma do Pagode Apr 24
13-7 vs ALKA Apr 23
Nuke
GUAR 11 – 13 MW
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Overall Rating
GUAR
MW
Recent on Nuke
GUARA
8-13 vs Isurus May 11
13-3 vs atrix Mar 22
13-9 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
3-13 vs ShindeN Mar 20
METANOIA Wolves
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
6-13 vs Imperial Apr 24
13-9 vs ALKA Apr 23
Inferno
GUAR 10 – 13 MW
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
Round Win Rate
GUAR
MW
Recent on Inferno
GUARA
6-13 vs Yawara May 13
6-13 vs Procyon May 12
13-16 vs UNO MILLE Mar 23
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
8-13 vs ShindeN Mar 20
METANOIA Wolves
9-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
13-9 vs Vasco Apr 22
Dust2
GUAR 6 – 13 MW
33%
67%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Round Win Rate
GUAR
MW
Recent on Dust2
GUARA
4-13 vs Yawara May 13
3-13 vs Isurus May 11
4-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 23
13-6 vs atrix Mar 22
0-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
6-13 vs VEXA May 13
10-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
19-16 vs Turma do Pagode Apr 24
13-7 vs ALKA Apr 23
Ancient
GUAR 16 – 14 MW
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Overall Rating
GUAR
MW
Recent on Ancient
GUARA
13-8 vs METANOIA Wolves Mar 19
METANOIA Wolves
13-4 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
4-13 vs VEXA May 13
7-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-16 vs Vasco Apr 22
Inferno
GUAR 10 – 13 MW
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
Round Win Rate
GUAR
MW
Recent on Inferno
GUARA
6-13 vs Yawara May 13
6-13 vs Procyon May 12
13-16 vs UNO MILLE Mar 23
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
8-13 vs ShindeN Mar 20
METANOIA Wolves
9-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
13-9 vs Vasco Apr 22
Dust2
GUAR 6 – 13 MW
33%
67%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Round Win Rate
GUAR
MW
Recent on Dust2
GUARA
4-13 vs Yawara May 13
3-13 vs Isurus May 11
4-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 23
13-6 vs atrix Mar 22
0-13 vs UNO MILLE Mar 21
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
6-13 vs VEXA May 13
10-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
19-16 vs Turma do Pagode Apr 24
13-7 vs ALKA Apr 23
Anubis
GUAR 7 – 13 MW
23%
77%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Map ADR
GUAR
MW
Recent on Anubis
GUARA
no data
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Recent Results last 10 matches
GUARA
METANOIA Wolves
L 0-2 vs Yawara InfernoDust2 May 13 33d ago
L 0-2 vs Procyon MirageInferno May 12 34d ago
L 0-2 vs Isurus Dust2Nuke May 11 35d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE InfernoDust2 Mar 23 84d ago
W 2-0 vs atrix Dust2Nuke Mar 22 85d ago
L 1-2 vs UNO MILLE InfernoNukeDust2 Mar 21 86d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN InfernoNuke Mar 20 87d ago
W 2-1 vs METANOIA Wolves InfernoDust2Ancient Mar 19 88d ago
L 0-2 vs Isurus InfernoDust2 Mar 17 90d ago
L 0-2 vs Players Dust2Inferno Mar 16 91d ago
W 2-0 vs BESTIA Academy Dust2Ancient May 13 33d ago
L 0-2 vs VEXA Dust2Ancient May 13 33d ago
L 0-2 vs Bounty Hunters AnubisAncient May 4 42d ago
L 0-2 vs Vasco Dust2Inferno Apr 25 51d ago
L 0-1 vs LP Nuke Apr 25 51d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars NukeAnubis Apr 24 52d ago
W 1-0 vs Turma do Pagode Dust2 Apr 24 52d ago
L 0-1 vs Imperial Nuke Apr 24 52d ago
W 2-0 vs ALKA NukeDust2 Apr 23 53d ago
L 1-2 vs Vasco Dust2InfernoAncient Apr 22 54d ago
Player Matchups
GUARA
Ratings
METANOIA Wolves
PA
paqueta
AWPADR 73.7KAST 69%
1.03 vs 1.05
AL
ALENNNCAR
AWPADR 68.9KAST 69%
FN
fnbJESUS
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 69%
0.96 vs 1.02
SP
spinnie
EntryADR 73.1KAST 67%
TI
Tineu
RiflerADR 64.1KAST 65%
0.83 vs 0.95
VZ
vzn
RiflerADR 71.1KAST 69%
AL
alwayz
RiflerADR 61.1KAST 67%
0.83 vs 0.89
PR
protado
RiflerADR 62.5KAST 67%
NE
neskk
EntryADR 60.2KAST 64%
0.79 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
GUAR 7 – 13 MW
23%
77%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Map ADR
GUAR
MW
Recent on Anubis
GUARA
no data
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Mirage
GUAR 7 – 13 MW
25%
75%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Map ADR
GUAR
MW
Recent on Mirage
GUARA
9-13 vs Procyon May 12
METANOIA Wolves
no data
Ancient
GUAR 16 – 14 MW
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GUAR
MW
Ranking
GUAR
MW
After First Kill
GUAR
MW
After First Death
GUAR
MW
Overall Rating
GUAR
MW
Recent on Ancient
GUARA
13-8 vs METANOIA Wolves Mar 19
METANOIA Wolves
13-4 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
4-13 vs VEXA May 13
7-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-16 vs Vasco Apr 22
More from CCT 2026 South America Series 2 1 match
Vasco over Players 81%