Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-07
Spirit
✓
vs
9z
93%
7%
Series win probability
SPIR
2–0
73%
SPIR
2–1
20%
9Z
2–1
5%
9Z
2–0
2%
Actual result
Mirage
13–3
SPIR
Nuke
13–1
SPIR
Model Insights
Spirit is strongly favored at 93%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.12 vs 1.07), a strong dust2 (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Dust2 · Overpass · Nuke
Scenario 2
37%
Dust2 · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 3
21%
Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
6
9Z
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
16-12
vs Falcons
May 17
13-3
vs MOUZ
May 16
13-6
vs G2
May 15
13-8
vs FURIA
May 11
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 10
9z
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
9-13
vs magic
May 15
13-1
vs Falcons
May 10
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Overpass
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Spirit
12-16
vs FURIA
May 11
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
9z
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
16-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-9
vs B8
Mar 7
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
9z
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
13-4
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
6
9Z
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
16-12
vs Falcons
May 17
13-3
vs MOUZ
May 16
13-6
vs G2
May 15
13-8
vs FURIA
May 11
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 10
9z
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
9-13
vs magic
May 15
13-1
vs Falcons
May 10
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Overpass
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Spirit
12-16
vs FURIA
May 11
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
9z
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
16-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
Ancient
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Spirit
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
6
9Z
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
16-12
vs Falcons
May 17
13-3
vs MOUZ
May 16
13-6
vs G2
May 15
13-8
vs FURIA
May 11
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 10
9z
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
9-13
vs magic
May 15
13-1
vs Falcons
May 10
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Overpass
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Spirit
12-16
vs FURIA
May 11
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
9z
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
16-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
91%
9%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Pistol Rounds
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
13-5
vs BetBoom
Jun 6
13-1
vs MIBR
Jun 6
13-7
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs FURIA
May 11
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
9z
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
9-13
vs Falcons
May 10
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs Legacy
Mar 30
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Spirit
9z
W
1-0
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jun 6
9d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jun 6
9d ago
W
3-0
vs Falcons
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
29d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 16
30d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
Dust2Ancient
May 15
31d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
Dust2OverpassMirage
May 11
35d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Ancient
May 10
36d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
Dust2Ancient
May 9
37d ago
L
0-3
vs Vitality
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 19
57d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
58d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 17
59d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Dust2
Jun 6
9d ago
W
1-0
vs Astralis
Nuke
Jun 6
9d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
MirageOverpassAncient
May 29
17d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
InfernoOverpassDust2
May 28
18d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassNuke
May 27
19d ago
L
1-2
vs magic
Dust2MirageAncient
May 15
31d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
NukeInfernoAncient
May 11
35d ago
W
2-1
vs Falcons
NukeMirageDust2
May 10
36d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
InfernoAncient
May 9
37d ago
L
2-3
vs Legacy
AncientDust2MirageNukeAnubis
Apr 26
50d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 25
51d ago
Player Matchups
Spirit
Ratings
9z
DO
donk
EntryADR 95.5KAST 78%
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 83.0KAST 72%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 73.8KAST 76%
DG
dgt
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 74%
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 73.5KAST 73%
HU
HUASOPEEK
EntryADR 72.4KAST 73%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 75%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 63.2KAST 73%
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 65.6KAST 74%
MA
max
RiflerADR 64.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
91%
9%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Pistol Rounds
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
13-5
vs BetBoom
Jun 6
13-1
vs MIBR
Jun 6
13-7
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs FURIA
May 11
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
9z
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
9-13
vs Falcons
May 10
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs Legacy
Mar 30
Ancient
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Spirit
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Anubis
SPIR
13
–
10
9Z
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Score
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Best Player
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Anubis
Spirit
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-10
vs G2
Mar 8
13-7
vs B8
Mar 7
13-8
vs G2
Feb 3
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
7 matches