Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Finals · 2026-05-27
TDK
vs
Nemiga ✗
23%
77%
Series win probability
NEMI 2–0 48%
NEMI 2–1 29%
TDK 2–1 14%
TDK 2–0 9%
Actual result
Dust2 13–5 TDK
Ancient 13–10 NEMI
Overpass 13–5 TDK
Model Insights
Nemiga is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#32 vs #59), a strong overpass (72% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Overpass · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 2 37% Overpass · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3 24% Overpass · Ancient · Mirage
Overpass
TDK 8 – 13 NEMI
28%
72%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
CT 4v5
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Overpass
TDK
13-7 vs Lavked May 16
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
14-16 vs Sashi May 12
16-13 vs GenOne May 8
Nemiga
16-13 vs Oramond May 27
13-8 vs ex-RUBY May 13
13-5 vs CYBERSHOKE May 10
13-11 vs INOX Division May 9
13-5 vs AaB May 7
Ancient
TDK 8 – 13 NEMI
34%
66%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
T Rating
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Ancient
TDK
8-13 vs Nemiga May 19
10-13 vs fnatic May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
9-13 vs Oxuji Apr 17
Nemiga
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 20
13-8 vs TDK May 19
13-9 vs Walczaki May 15
13-5 vs SPARTA May 14
16-13 vs ex-RUBY May 13
Dust2
TDK 11 – 13 NEMI
32%
68%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
Round Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Dust2
TDK
8-13 vs fnatic May 14
13-1 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-8 vs Sashi May 12
13-4 vs Lavked May 10
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
Nemiga
11-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 20
13-8 vs Walczaki May 15
13-10 vs SPARTA May 14
16-14 vs Walczaki May 10
11-13 vs Eternal Fire Apr 29
Overpass
TDK 8 – 13 NEMI
28%
72%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
CT 4v5
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Overpass
TDK
13-7 vs Lavked May 16
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
14-16 vs Sashi May 12
16-13 vs GenOne May 8
Nemiga
16-13 vs Oramond May 27
13-8 vs ex-RUBY May 13
13-5 vs CYBERSHOKE May 10
13-11 vs INOX Division May 9
13-5 vs AaB May 7
Ancient
TDK 8 – 13 NEMI
34%
66%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
T Rating
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Ancient
TDK
8-13 vs Nemiga May 19
10-13 vs fnatic May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
9-13 vs Oxuji Apr 17
Nemiga
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 20
13-8 vs TDK May 19
13-9 vs Walczaki May 15
13-5 vs SPARTA May 14
16-13 vs ex-RUBY May 13
Anubis
TDK 9 – 13 NEMI
32%
68%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
Round Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Anubis
TDK
13-9 vs fnatic May 14
16-13 vs Lavked May 10
13-6 vs Oxuji Apr 17
13-11 vs MANA Apr 15
Nemiga
13-4 vs Oramond May 27
13-6 vs Lavked May 15
7-13 vs Walczaki May 10
8-13 vs INOX Division May 9
16-13 vs Walczaki Apr 27
Overpass
TDK 8 – 13 NEMI
28%
72%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
CT 4v5
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Overpass
TDK
13-7 vs Lavked May 16
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
14-16 vs Sashi May 12
16-13 vs GenOne May 8
Nemiga
16-13 vs Oramond May 27
13-8 vs ex-RUBY May 13
13-5 vs CYBERSHOKE May 10
13-11 vs INOX Division May 9
13-5 vs AaB May 7
Ancient
TDK 8 – 13 NEMI
34%
66%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
T Rating
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Ancient
TDK
8-13 vs Nemiga May 19
10-13 vs fnatic May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
9-13 vs Oxuji Apr 17
Nemiga
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 20
13-8 vs TDK May 19
13-9 vs Walczaki May 15
13-5 vs SPARTA May 14
16-13 vs ex-RUBY May 13
Mirage
TDK 9 – 13 NEMI
30%
70%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
T Rating
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Mirage
TDK
11-13 vs Nemiga May 19
13-5 vs Lavked May 16
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
5-13 vs Lavked May 10
13-4 vs Famalicão May 5
Nemiga
13-11 vs TDK May 19
13-7 vs Lavked May 15
2-13 vs ex-RUBY May 13
13-6 vs CYBERSHOKE May 10
11-13 vs AaB May 7
Recent Results last 11 matches
TDK
Nemiga
L 0-2 vs Nemiga AncientMirage May 19 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Lavked MirageOverpass May 16 30d ago
L 1-2 vs fnatic AnubisDust2Ancient May 14 32d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NXT MirageOverpassDust2 May 14 32d ago
W 2-0 vs KOLESIE OverpassAncient May 13 33d ago
L 1-2 vs Sashi InfernoDust2Overpass May 12 34d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked MirageAnubisDust2 May 10 36d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientDust2 May 10 36d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne OverpassDust2 May 8 38d ago
W 2-0 vs Famalicão MirageDust2 May 5 41d ago
L 1-2 vs INOX Division InfernoOverpassDust2 May 3 43d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientDust2 May 20 26d ago
W 2-0 vs TDK AncientMirage May 19 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Walczaki Dust2NukeAncient May 15 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Lavked AnubisMirage May 15 31d ago
W 2-0 vs SPARTA AncientDust2 May 14 32d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUBY OverpassMirageAncient May 13 33d ago
W 2-0 vs CYBERSHOKE OverpassMirage May 10 36d ago
L 1-2 vs Walczaki Dust2NukeAnubis May 10 36d ago
W 2-1 vs INOX Division NukeAnubisOverpass May 9 37d ago
W 2-1 vs AaB MirageOverpassNuke May 7 39d ago
L 0-2 vs Eternal Fire AncientDust2 Apr 29 47d ago
Player Matchups
TDK
Ratings
Nemiga
AX
Ax1Le
EntryADR 81.9KAST 73%
1.16 vs 1.21
SY
syph0
RiflerADR 81.0KAST 74%
NA
nafany
AWPADR 77.4KAST 70%
1.10 vs 1.11
KH
khaN
AWPADR 73.0KAST 74%
XA
Xant3r
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 73%
1.04 vs 1.09
KA
KaiR0N-
EntryADR 79.4KAST 73%
SU
sugaR
RiflerADR 67.3KAST 73%
0.98 vs 1.09
SO
sowalio
RiflerADR 75.3KAST 74%
— vs 0.99
1E
1eeR
RiflerADR 70.0KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
TDK 3 – 13 NEMI
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Ban Rate
TDK
NEMI
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
After First Death
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Nuke
TDK
no data
Nemiga
8-13 vs Walczaki May 15
9-13 vs Walczaki May 10
13-7 vs INOX Division May 9
13-9 vs AaB May 7
13-9 vs Walczaki Apr 27
Mirage
TDK 9 – 13 NEMI
30%
70%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
T Rating
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Mirage
TDK
11-13 vs Nemiga May 19
13-5 vs Lavked May 16
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
5-13 vs Lavked May 10
13-4 vs Famalicão May 5
Nemiga
13-11 vs TDK May 19
13-7 vs Lavked May 15
2-13 vs ex-RUBY May 13
13-6 vs CYBERSHOKE May 10
11-13 vs AaB May 7
Anubis
TDK 9 – 13 NEMI
32%
68%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
vs Top 30
TDK
NEMI
After First Kill
TDK
NEMI
Round Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Anubis
TDK
13-9 vs fnatic May 14
16-13 vs Lavked May 10
13-6 vs Oxuji Apr 17
13-11 vs MANA Apr 15
Nemiga
13-4 vs Oramond May 27
13-6 vs Lavked May 15
7-13 vs Walczaki May 10
8-13 vs INOX Division May 9
16-13 vs Walczaki Apr 27
Inferno
TDK 14 – 16 NEMI
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TDK
NEMI
Map Win Rate
TDK
NEMI
After First Death
TDK
NEMI
Map ADR
TDK
NEMI
Ban Rate
TDK
NEMI
Recent on Inferno
TDK
8-13 vs Sashi May 12
7-13 vs INOX Division May 3
Nemiga
13-6 vs ex-RUBY Apr 25