Bo5 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Finals
· 2026-05-28
Nemesis
✗
vs
TDK
64%
36%
Series win probability
NEME
3–2
24%
NEME
3–1
24%
NEME
3–0
16%
TDK
3–1
14%
TDK
3–2
13%
Actual result
Ancient
13–7
TDK
Dust2
13–4
NEME
Nuke
13–11
NEME
Overpass
13–9
TDK
Mirage
13–9
TDK
Model Insights
Nemesis has a moderate edge at 64%, favored on 4 of 5 maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps
5 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Ancient · Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage · Inferno
Ancient
NEME
14
–
16
TDK
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TDK
Map Win Rate
NEME
TDK
Round Win Rate
NEME
TDK
Pick Rate
NEME
TDK
T Side
NEME
TDK
Recent on Ancient
Nemesis
13-6
vs INOX Division
May 26
13-5
vs SPARTA
May 3
13-8
vs fnatic
Apr 29
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Apr 25
13-5
vs big
Apr 10
TDK
10-13
vs Nemiga
May 27
8-13
vs Nemiga
May 19
10-13
vs fnatic
May 14
13-4
vs KOLESIE
May 13
5-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 10
Dust2
NEME
16
–
14
TDK
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TDK
CT 4v5
NEME
TDK
After First Kill
NEME
TDK
Round Win Rate
NEME
TDK
Map ADR
NEME
TDK
Recent on Dust2
Nemesis
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-9
vs SPARTA
May 3
13-7
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
9-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
TDK
13-5
vs Nemiga
May 27
8-13
vs fnatic
May 14
13-1
vs MOUZ NXT
May 14
13-8
vs Sashi
May 12
13-4
vs Lavked
May 10
Overpass
NEME
13
–
11
TDK
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TDK
Round Win Rate
NEME
TDK
Ban Rate
NEME
TDK
Map ADR
NEME
TDK
Pick Rate
NEME
TDK
Recent on Overpass
Nemesis
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-8
vs Rebels
Apr 2
4-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-10
vs Nemiga
Mar 24
13-3
vs TDK
Mar 21
TDK
13-5
vs Nemiga
May 27
13-7
vs Lavked
May 16
13-6
vs MOUZ NXT
May 14
13-4
vs KOLESIE
May 13
14-16
vs Sashi
May 12
Mirage
NEME
13
–
10
TDK
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TDK
Opening Kills
NEME
TDK
Map ADR
NEME
TDK
Opening Duels
NEME
TDK
Map Player Rating
NEME
TDK
Recent on Mirage
Nemesis
10-13
vs Walczaki
May 18
13-8
vs The Last Resort
Apr 25
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-8
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
TDK
11-13
vs Nemiga
May 19
13-5
vs Lavked
May 16
8-13
vs MOUZ NXT
May 14
5-13
vs Lavked
May 10
13-4
vs Famalicão
May 5
Inferno
NEME
13
–
8
TDK
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TDK
After First Kill
NEME
TDK
Flash Assists
NEME
TDK
After First Death
NEME
TDK
Map ADR
NEME
TDK
Recent on Inferno
Nemesis
16-12
vs INOX Division
May 26
4-13
vs Walczaki
May 18
13-5
vs fnatic
Apr 29
13-11
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-8
vs big
Apr 10
TDK
8-13
vs Sashi
May 12
7-13
vs INOX Division
May 3
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Nemesis
TDK
W
2-0
vs INOX Division
InfernoAncient
May 26
20d ago
L
1-2
vs Walczaki
NukeInfernoMirage
May 18
28d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
Dust2Nuke
May 8
38d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
Dust2Ancient
May 3
43d ago
W
2-0
vs fnatic
InfernoAncient
Apr 29
47d ago
W
2-0
vs Hashiras
InfernoNuke
Apr 27
49d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AncientMirage
Apr 25
51d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Dust2Overpass
Apr 23
53d ago
W
2-0
vs ESC
NukeDust2
Apr 10
66d ago
W
2-0
vs big
InfernoAncient
Apr 10
66d ago
W
2-0
vs EYEBALLERS
NukeMirage
Apr 9
67d ago
W
2-1
vs Nemiga
Dust2AncientOverpass
May 27
19d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemiga
AncientMirage
May 19
27d ago
W
2-0
vs Lavked
MirageOverpass
May 16
30d ago
L
1-2
vs fnatic
AnubisDust2Ancient
May 14
32d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ NXT
MirageOverpassDust2
May 14
32d ago
W
2-0
vs KOLESIE
OverpassAncient
May 13
33d ago
L
1-2
vs Sashi
InfernoDust2Overpass
May 12
34d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
MirageAnubisDust2
May 10
36d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientDust2
May 10
36d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
OverpassDust2
May 8
38d ago
W
2-0
vs Famalicão
MirageDust2
May 5
41d ago
Player Matchups
Nemesis
Ratings
TDK
R3
r3salt
EntryADR 80.8KAST 74%
AX
Ax1Le
EntryADR 81.9KAST 73%
TE
tex1y
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 75%
NA
nafany
AWPADR 78.2KAST 70%
SD
Sdaim
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 73%
XA
Xant3r
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 73%
MA
mag1k3Y
AWPADR 69.6KAST 75%
SU
sugaR
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 72%
SE
SELLTER
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Nuke
NEME
13
–
5
TDK
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Ban Rate
NEME
TDK
After First Kill
NEME
TDK
Ranking
NEME
TDK
Opening Kills
NEME
TDK
Map ADR
NEME
TDK
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 18
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-8
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
TDK
no data
Anubis
NEME
7
–
13
TDK
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TDK
Map Win Rate
NEME
TDK
After First Kill
NEME
TDK
Ban Rate
NEME
TDK
CT 4v5
NEME
TDK
Recent on Anubis
Nemesis
no data
TDK
13-9
vs fnatic
May 14
16-13
vs Lavked
May 10
13-6
vs Oxuji
Apr 17
13-11
vs MANA
Apr 15