Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-13
Natus Vincere
✓
vs
The MongolZ
63%
37%
Series win probability
NAVI
2–0
44%
NAVI
2–1
33%
TM
2–1
15%
TM
2–0
7%
Actual result
Nuke
13–8
TM
Ancient
16–13
NAVI
Mirage
13–6
NAVI
Model Insights
Natus Vincere has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), a strong mirage (85% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Mirage · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 2
34%
Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
24%
Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
7
TM
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
The MongolZ
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs PARIVISION
May 21
Inferno
NAVI
16
–
14
TM
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Ranking
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
13-4
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-3
vs Vitality
May 15
11-13
vs Legacy
May 13
13-4
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Aurora
Apr 15
The MongolZ
11-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-7
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs Falcons
May 12
19-15
vs G2
May 10
13-4
vs magic
May 9
Ancient
NAVI
13
–
8
TM
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Map Win Rate
NAVI
TM
After First Death
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
13-10
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 16
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-11
vs FaZe
May 2
The MongolZ
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
7
TM
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
The MongolZ
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs PARIVISION
May 21
Ancient
NAVI
13
–
8
TM
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Map Win Rate
NAVI
TM
After First Death
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
13-10
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 16
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-11
vs FaZe
May 2
The MongolZ
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
Nuke
NAVI
14
–
16
TM
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Ranking
NAVI
TM
Round Win Rate
NAVI
TM
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 16
12-16
vs Vitality
May 3
13-16
vs FURIA
Apr 14
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 23
The MongolZ
10-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-9
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs B8
May 20
10-13
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
7
TM
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
The MongolZ
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs PARIVISION
May 21
Ancient
NAVI
13
–
8
TM
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Map Win Rate
NAVI
TM
After First Death
NAVI
TM
T 5v4
NAVI
TM
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
13-10
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 16
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-11
vs FaZe
May 2
The MongolZ
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
Dust2
NAVI
8
–
13
TM
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
Ranking
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Round Win Rate
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 11
11-13
vs Vitality
May 15
6-13
vs Legacy
May 13
3-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-5
vs FaZe
May 2
The MongolZ
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs G2
May 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Natus Vincere
The MongolZ
W
2-0
vs Legacy
InfernoAncient
Jun 12
3d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Anubis
Jun 11
4d ago
W
3-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageAnubisNuke
May 17
29d ago
W
2-0
vs BetBoom
AncientNuke
May 16
30d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
Dust2AnubisInferno
May 15
31d ago
L
1-2
vs Legacy
InfernoAncientDust2
May 13
33d ago
W
2-1
vs GamerLegion
InfernoAncientMirage
May 12
34d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
AnubisMirage
May 11
35d ago
L
0-3
vs Vitality
NukeAnubisDust2
May 3
43d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
Dust2Ancient
May 2
44d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageAncient
Apr 30
46d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Jun 12
3d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
Dust2MirageAncient
Jun 11
4d ago
L
1-2
vs Legacy
InfernoMirageNuke
May 22
24d ago
W
2-1
vs Liquid
MirageInfernoNuke
May 21
25d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
Dust2Mirage
May 21
25d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
26d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
May 19
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
OverpassMirage
May 13
33d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
34d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 10
36d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
Dust2Inferno
May 10
36d ago
Player Matchups
Natus Vincere
Ratings
The MongolZ
W0
w0nderful
AWPADR 75.1KAST 76%
91
910
AWPADR 76.2KAST 74%
MA
makazze
RiflerADR 81.2KAST 75%
MZ
mzinho
EntryADR 73.4KAST 70%
B1
b1t
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 75%
CO
cobrazera
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 70%
IM
iM
EntryADR 77.5KAST 74%
BL
bLitz
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 70%
AL
Aleksib
RiflerADR 61.0KAST 73%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
NAVI
13
–
6
TM
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
After First Death
NAVI
TM
Ban Rate
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
8-13
vs Spirit
Jun 11
13-9
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs Vitality
May 15
16-13
vs Passion UA
May 11
11-13
vs Vitality
May 3
The MongolZ
no data
Overpass
NAVI
5
–
13
TM
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
After First Death
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
Ranking
NAVI
TM
Recent on Overpass
Natus Vincere
no data
The MongolZ
13-3
vs B8
Jun 12
11-13
vs Aurora
May 13
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
Dust2
NAVI
8
–
13
TM
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
Ranking
NAVI
TM
Map Player Rating
NAVI
TM
Round Win Rate
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 11
11-13
vs Vitality
May 15
6-13
vs Legacy
May 13
3-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-5
vs FaZe
May 2
The MongolZ
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs G2
May 10
Nuke
NAVI
14
–
16
TM
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
TM
Opening Kills
NAVI
TM
After First Kill
NAVI
TM
Ranking
NAVI
TM
Round Win Rate
NAVI
TM
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 16
12-16
vs Vitality
May 3
13-16
vs FURIA
Apr 14
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 23
The MongolZ
10-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-9
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs B8
May 20
10-13
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches