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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · 2026-06-09
ex-RUBY ✓
vs
RUSTEC
52%
48%
Series win probability
RUST 2–0 28%
EX-R 2–1 26%
RUST 2–1 24%
EX-R 2–0 22%
Actual result
Nuke 13–8 RUST
Dust2 13–9 EX-R
Overpass 13–2 EX-R
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — ex-RUBY is slightly favored at 52% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#68 vs #121). RUSTEC's best shot is nuke where they hold a 55% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 42% Nuke · Dust2 · Overpass
Scenario 2 38% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3 20% Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Nuke
EX-R 11 – 13 RUST
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
T Side
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Nuke
ex-RUBY
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 9
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Jun 5
7-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
13-9 vs AM Jun 4
10-13 vs AM Jun 3
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-16 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs STATE Apr 3
Dust2
EX-R 16 – 14 RUST
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Dust2
ex-RUBY
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 9
13-5 vs Acend Jun 8
6-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 6
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Jun 5
13-8 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
RUSTEC
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 8
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 31
Overpass
EX-R 16 – 14 RUST
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Star Player
EX-R
RUST
Flash Assists
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Overpass
ex-RUBY
13-3 vs Acend Jun 8
22-19 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
12-16 vs Nemiga May 29
13-8 vs Rune Eaters May 25
13-10 vs Phantom May 23
RUSTEC
16-19 vs Ursa Jun 8
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
Nuke
EX-R 11 – 13 RUST
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
T Side
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Nuke
ex-RUBY
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 9
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Jun 5
7-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
13-9 vs AM Jun 4
10-13 vs AM Jun 3
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-16 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs STATE Apr 3
Dust2
EX-R 16 – 14 RUST
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Dust2
ex-RUBY
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 9
13-5 vs Acend Jun 8
6-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 6
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Jun 5
13-8 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
RUSTEC
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 8
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 31
Mirage
EX-R 13 – 11 RUST
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Mirage
ex-RUBY
11-13 vs Acend Jun 8
13-8 vs AM Jun 4
16-19 vs AM Jun 3
2-13 vs Nemiga May 29
10-13 vs WW May 28
RUSTEC
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
11-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
Nuke
EX-R 11 – 13 RUST
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
T Side
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Nuke
ex-RUBY
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 9
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Jun 5
7-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
13-9 vs AM Jun 4
10-13 vs AM Jun 3
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-16 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs STATE Apr 3
Dust2
EX-R 16 – 14 RUST
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Dust2
ex-RUBY
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 9
13-5 vs Acend Jun 8
6-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 6
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Jun 5
13-8 vs RUSTEC Jun 5
RUSTEC
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 8
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 31
Ancient
EX-R 13 – 9 RUST
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Ancient
ex-RUBY
9-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 6
10-13 vs Omega May 28
14-16 vs ASTRAL May 27
13-4 vs PsychoFace May 26
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 25
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Recent Results last 11 matches
ex-RUBY
RUSTEC
W 2-1 vs Acend Dust2MirageOverpass Jun 8 7d ago
L 0-2 vs 100 Thieves AncientDust2 Jun 6 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2Nuke Jun 5 10d ago
W 2-1 vs RUSTEC OverpassNukeDust2 Jun 5 10d ago
W 2-0 vs AM NukeMirage Jun 4 11d ago
L 0-2 vs AM NukeMirage Jun 3 12d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Dust2Nuke May 30 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemiga OverpassMirage May 29 17d ago
L 1-2 vs WW Dust2NukeMirage May 28 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Omega NukeDust2Ancient May 28 18d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL NukeAncientDust2 May 27 19d ago
W 2-1 vs Ursa OverpassDust2Inferno Jun 8 7d ago
L 0-2 vs Young Ninjas Dust2Nuke Jun 6 9d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY OverpassNukeDust2 Jun 5 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES Dust2Anubis Jun 3 12d ago
W 2-1 vs Young Ninjas NukeDust2Mirage May 31 15d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix InfernoAnubis May 26 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Entropy OverpassMirage May 25 21d ago
W 2-1 vs BRUTE InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 26 50d ago
W 2-0 vs INOX Division Dust2Inferno Apr 26 50d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom Dust2Mirage Apr 26 50d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division AncientAnubis Apr 25 51d ago
Player Matchups
ex-RUBY
Ratings
RUSTEC
YU
YumsaN
AWPADR 73.2KAST 72%
1.08 vs 1.11
YO
youka
AWPADR 74.6KAST 73%
SH
sh1nejezzz
EntryADR 68.7KAST 73%
1.04 vs 1.10
BR
Brilliance
EntryADR 77.0KAST 73%
RO
robo
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 72%
1.01 vs 1.07
SU
supra
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 71%
H4
H4SAN4TOR
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 73%
1.00 vs 1.03
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 71%
— vs 1.01
AN
anttzz
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
EX-R 13 – 9 RUST
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Ancient
ex-RUBY
9-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 6
10-13 vs Omega May 28
14-16 vs ASTRAL May 27
13-4 vs PsychoFace May 26
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 25
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Anubis
EX-R 13 – 10 RUST
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
After First Death
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Anubis
ex-RUBY
13-6 vs GenOne May 19
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-11 vs Lilmix May 26
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
9-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Mirage
EX-R 13 – 11 RUST
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
RUST
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
RUST
Map Player Rating
EX-R
RUST
Map Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Round Win Rate
EX-R
RUST
Recent on Mirage
ex-RUBY
11-13 vs Acend Jun 8
13-8 vs AM Jun 4
16-19 vs AM Jun 3
2-13 vs Nemiga May 29
10-13 vs WW May 28
RUSTEC
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
11-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 2 matches
Virtus.pro over Oxuji 62% GenOne over PsychoFace 51%