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Bo3  ·  IEM Atlanta 2026 · 2026-05-12
paiN
vs
FUT ✗
8%
92%
Series win probability
FUT 2–0 67%
FUT 2–1 25%
PAIN 2–1 5%
PAIN 2–0 3%
Actual result
Nuke 13–8 PAIN
Overpass 13–10 FUT
Dust2 13–11 PAIN
Model Insights
FUT is strongly favored at 92%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.02), a strong dust2 (84% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 37% Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 2 37% Nuke · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3 26% Nuke · Mirage · Overpass
Nuke
PAIN 7 – 13 FUT
18%
82%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
Round Win Rate
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Days With Lineup Team
PAIN
FUT
Days With Lineup Opp
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Nuke
paiN
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-2 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-1 vs ALKA Apr 1
16-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
FUT
10-13 vs Astralis Apr 30
11-13 vs Vitality Apr 29
14-16 vs Astralis Apr 11
13-10 vs The MongolZ Apr 10
13-2 vs NRG Apr 5
Mirage
PAIN 6 – 13 FUT
18%
82%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Pick Rate
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Mirage
paiN
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-5 vs Galorys Apr 1
13-11 vs ShindeN Mar 29
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Mar 27
FUT
5-13 vs Astralis Apr 30
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 29
13-5 vs Astralis Apr 11
16-14 vs The MongolZ Apr 10
13-6 vs PARIVISION Apr 6
Dust2
PAIN 5 – 13 FUT
16%
84%
Win prob OT 2% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Map ADR
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Dust2
paiN
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
13-7 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
7-13 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
8-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-8 vs Bounty Hunters Mar 27
FUT
13-11 vs Vitality Apr 29
13-3 vs Astralis Apr 11
13-11 vs PARIVISION Apr 6
9-13 vs Inner Circle Apr 4
13-8 vs Astralis Mar 15
Nuke
PAIN 7 – 13 FUT
18%
82%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
Round Win Rate
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Days With Lineup Team
PAIN
FUT
Days With Lineup Opp
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Nuke
paiN
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-2 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-1 vs ALKA Apr 1
16-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
FUT
10-13 vs Astralis Apr 30
11-13 vs Vitality Apr 29
14-16 vs Astralis Apr 11
13-10 vs The MongolZ Apr 10
13-2 vs NRG Apr 5
Mirage
PAIN 6 – 13 FUT
18%
82%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Pick Rate
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Mirage
paiN
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-5 vs Galorys Apr 1
13-11 vs ShindeN Mar 29
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Mar 27
FUT
5-13 vs Astralis Apr 30
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 29
13-5 vs Astralis Apr 11
16-14 vs The MongolZ Apr 10
13-6 vs PARIVISION Apr 6
Anubis
PAIN 7 – 13 FUT
21%
79%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
After First Death
PAIN
FUT
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Anubis
paiN
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
13-7 vs ALKA Apr 1
7-13 vs Aurora Feb 15
FUT
13-3 vs B8 Mar 9
13-7 vs Passion UA Mar 2
10-13 vs M80 Mar 1
9-13 vs FURIA Feb 15
13-16 vs Aurora Feb 14
Nuke
PAIN 7 – 13 FUT
18%
82%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
Round Win Rate
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Days With Lineup Team
PAIN
FUT
Days With Lineup Opp
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Nuke
paiN
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-2 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-1 vs ALKA Apr 1
16-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
FUT
10-13 vs Astralis Apr 30
11-13 vs Vitality Apr 29
14-16 vs Astralis Apr 11
13-10 vs The MongolZ Apr 10
13-2 vs NRG Apr 5
Mirage
PAIN 6 – 13 FUT
18%
82%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Pick Rate
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Mirage
paiN
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
13-5 vs Galorys Apr 1
13-11 vs ShindeN Mar 29
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Mar 27
FUT
5-13 vs Astralis Apr 30
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 29
13-5 vs Astralis Apr 11
16-14 vs The MongolZ Apr 10
13-6 vs PARIVISION Apr 6
Overpass
PAIN 5 – 13 FUT
15%
85%
Win prob OT 2% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Death
PAIN
FUT
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Map ADR
PAIN
FUT
Round Win Rate
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Overpass
paiN
11-13 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
13-4 vs ShindeN Mar 29
7-13 vs Aurora Mar 8
8-13 vs Passion UA Mar 3
FUT
13-9 vs NRG May 11
16-13 vs B8 Apr 9
12-16 vs Astralis Mar 15
10-13 vs MOUZ Mar 13
13-11 vs G2 Mar 10
Recent Results last 11 matches
paiN
FUT
W 2-0 vs FaZe Dust2Anubis May 11 35d ago
W 3-1 vs Gaimin Gladiators NukeOverpassAnubisDust2 Apr 5 71d ago
W 2-1 vs ShindeN MirageInfernoNuke Apr 4 72d ago
W 2-0 vs Fluxo MirageNuke Apr 4 72d ago
W 2-0 vs ALKA AnubisNuke Apr 1 75d ago
W 2-1 vs Galorys NukeOverpassMirage Apr 1 75d ago
W 2-1 vs Gaimin Gladiators Dust2NukeInferno Mar 30 77d ago
W 2-0 vs ShindeN OverpassMirage Mar 29 78d ago
L 1-2 vs 9z Dust2NukeInferno Mar 29 78d ago
W 2-1 vs Bounty Hunters MirageNukeDust2 Mar 27 80d ago
W 2-0 vs lp InfernoNuke Mar 27 80d ago
W 2-0 vs NRG AncientOverpass May 11 35d ago
L 0-2 vs Astralis MirageNuke Apr 30 46d ago
L 1-2 vs Vitality MirageDust2Nuke Apr 29 47d ago
W 3-1 vs Astralis AncientMirageNukeDust2 Apr 11 65d ago
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ NukeMirage Apr 10 66d ago
W 2-0 vs B8 AncientOverpass Apr 9 67d ago
W 2-0 vs PARIVISION Dust2Mirage Apr 6 70d ago
W 2-0 vs NRG AncientNuke Apr 5 71d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Dust2MirageAncient Apr 4 72d ago
L 1-2 vs Astralis Dust2AncientOverpass Mar 15 92d ago
L 1-2 vs Natus Vincere MirageAncientDust2 Mar 14 93d ago
Player Matchups
paiN
Ratings
FUT
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 71%
1.05 vs 1.13
LA
lauNX
RiflerADR 75.6KAST 74%
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 73.6KAST 71%
1.05 vs 1.11
DZ
dziugss
EntryADR 75.9KAST 75%
SN
snow
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 72%
1.03 vs 1.05
KR
Krabeni
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 69%
SA
saffee
AWPADR 69.9KAST 70%
1.02 vs 1.04
DE
dem0n
RiflerADR 69.7KAST 72%
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 70%
0.94 vs 1.04
CM
cmtry
AWPADR 70.6KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
PAIN 3 – 13 FUT
6%
94%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Death
PAIN
FUT
Map ADR
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Ancient
paiN
no data
FUT
16-13 vs NRG May 11
13-5 vs Astralis Apr 11
13-11 vs B8 Apr 9
13-3 vs NRG Apr 5
13-3 vs Inner Circle Apr 4
Overpass
PAIN 5 – 13 FUT
15%
85%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
After First Death
PAIN
FUT
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
Map ADR
PAIN
FUT
Round Win Rate
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Overpass
paiN
11-13 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 1
13-4 vs ShindeN Mar 29
7-13 vs Aurora Mar 8
8-13 vs Passion UA Mar 3
FUT
13-9 vs NRG May 11
16-13 vs B8 Apr 9
12-16 vs Astralis Mar 15
10-13 vs MOUZ Mar 13
13-11 vs G2 Mar 10
Anubis
PAIN 7 – 13 FUT
21%
79%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
PAIN
FUT
After First Death
PAIN
FUT
Ranking
PAIN
FUT
Overall Rating
PAIN
FUT
Schedule Strength
PAIN
FUT
Recent on Anubis
paiN
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
13-7 vs ALKA Apr 1
7-13 vs Aurora Feb 15
FUT
13-3 vs B8 Mar 9
13-7 vs Passion UA Mar 2
10-13 vs M80 Mar 1
9-13 vs FURIA Feb 15
13-16 vs Aurora Feb 14
More from IEM Atlanta 2026 5 matches
B8 over BC.Game 68% FaZe over NRG 76% Natus Vincere over GamerLegion 74% Astralis over Legacy 58% M80 over Liquid 55%