Bo3 · IEM Atlanta 2026
· 2026-05-12
Liquid
vs
M80
✗
45%
55%
Series win probability
M80
2–0
30%
LIQU
2–1
26%
M80
2–1
24%
LIQU
2–0
19%
Actual result
Dust2
13–4
M80
Inferno
13–8
LIQU
Ancient
13–5
LIQU
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — M80 is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.00), a significant ranking advantage (#26 vs #51), a strong ancient (62% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Ancient · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2
38%
Ancient · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 3
19%
Ancient · Inferno · Anubis
Ancient
LIQU
9
–
13
M80
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Pick Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
11-13
vs Astralis
May 11
5-13
vs 3dmax
Apr 14
2-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
7-13
vs M80
Mar 31
13-2
vs Inner Circle
Mar 30
M80
9-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
4-13
vs Monte
Apr 1
13-7
vs Liquid
Mar 31
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 2
5-13
vs FUT
Mar 1
Inferno
LIQU
16
–
14
M80
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Round Win Rate
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
9-13
vs M80
Mar 31
6-13
vs OG
Mar 15
13-6
vs Alliance
Mar 15
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 14
13-16
vs Famalicão
Mar 13
M80
5-13
vs Legacy
May 11
13-10
vs Wildcard
May 4
13-3
vs InControl
Apr 25
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 2
8-13
vs Monte
Apr 2
Mirage
LIQU
16
–
14
M80
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Recent on Mirage
Liquid
13-8
vs HAVU
Mar 31
16-13
vs Inner Circle
Mar 30
10-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 22
19-17
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Mar 21
8-13
vs Spirit
Mar 19
M80
7-13
vs Legacy
May 11
13-8
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
13-5
vs InControl
Apr 25
13-5
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
13-10
vs Monte
Apr 2
Ancient
LIQU
9
–
13
M80
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Pick Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
11-13
vs Astralis
May 11
5-13
vs 3dmax
Apr 14
2-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
7-13
vs M80
Mar 31
13-2
vs Inner Circle
Mar 30
M80
9-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
4-13
vs Monte
Apr 1
13-7
vs Liquid
Mar 31
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 2
5-13
vs FUT
Mar 1
Inferno
LIQU
16
–
14
M80
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Round Win Rate
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
9-13
vs M80
Mar 31
6-13
vs OG
Mar 15
13-6
vs Alliance
Mar 15
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 14
13-16
vs Famalicão
Mar 13
M80
5-13
vs Legacy
May 11
13-10
vs Wildcard
May 4
13-3
vs InControl
Apr 25
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 2
8-13
vs Monte
Apr 2
Dust2
LIQU
8
–
13
M80
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Map ADR
LIQU
M80
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
4-13
vs Astralis
May 11
11-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
13-7
vs HAVU
Mar 31
25-23
vs OG
Mar 15
13-6
vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 14
M80
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 4
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
13-3
vs Monte
Apr 2
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 1
13-3
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 30
Ancient
LIQU
9
–
13
M80
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Pick Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
11-13
vs Astralis
May 11
5-13
vs 3dmax
Apr 14
2-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
7-13
vs M80
Mar 31
13-2
vs Inner Circle
Mar 30
M80
9-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
4-13
vs Monte
Apr 1
13-7
vs Liquid
Mar 31
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 2
5-13
vs FUT
Mar 1
Inferno
LIQU
16
–
14
M80
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Round Win Rate
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
9-13
vs M80
Mar 31
6-13
vs OG
Mar 15
13-6
vs Alliance
Mar 15
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 14
13-16
vs Famalicão
Mar 13
M80
5-13
vs Legacy
May 11
13-10
vs Wildcard
May 4
13-3
vs InControl
Apr 25
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 2
8-13
vs Monte
Apr 2
Anubis
LIQU
7
–
13
M80
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Team
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Opp
LIQU
M80
Map ADR
LIQU
M80
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
M80
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Liquid
M80
L
0-2
vs Astralis
Dust2Ancient
May 11
35d ago
L
0-2
vs 3dmax
NukeAncient
Apr 14
62d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
AncientDust2
Apr 13
63d ago
L
0-2
vs M80
AncientInferno
Mar 31
76d ago
W
2-1
vs HAVU
NukeMirageDust2
Mar 31
76d ago
L
0-2
vs Sashi
NukeAnubis
Mar 31
76d ago
W
2-0
vs Inner Circle
MirageAncient
Mar 30
77d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
AncientMirage
Mar 22
85d ago
W
2-1
vs ninjas in pyjamas
NukeMirageAncient
Mar 21
86d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageAncient
Mar 19
88d ago
L
1-2
vs OG
InfernoDust2Ancient
Mar 15
92d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
InfernoMirage
May 11
35d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
Dust2Inferno
May 4
42d ago
W
2-0
vs It's a Secret
Dust2Mirage
Apr 25
51d ago
W
2-0
vs InControl
MirageInferno
Apr 25
51d ago
L
1-2
vs Marsborne
MirageAncientAnubis
Apr 25
51d ago
W
2-1
vs Alliance
AnubisInfernoOverpass
Apr 2
74d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
74d ago
L
0-2
vs Monte
AncientDust2
Apr 1
75d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AncientInferno
Mar 31
76d ago
W
2-1
vs Aurora
InfernoAnubisOverpass
Mar 31
76d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
InfernoDust2
Mar 30
77d ago
Player Matchups
Liquid
Ratings
M80
MA
malbsMd
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 70%
SW
Swisher
RiflerADR 80.2KAST 75%
NA
NAF
EntryADR 74.2KAST 71%
SL
slaxz-
AWPADR 70.4KAST 76%
EL
EliGE
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 71%
LA
Lake
EntryADR 80.2KAST 74%
UL
ultimate
AWPADR 65.7KAST 70%
JB
JBa
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 75%
SI
siuhy
RiflerADR 62.0KAST 67%
S1
s1n
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Anubis
LIQU
7
–
13
M80
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Team
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Opp
LIQU
M80
Map ADR
LIQU
M80
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
M80
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 2
Dust2
LIQU
8
–
13
M80
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Map ADR
LIQU
M80
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
4-13
vs Astralis
May 11
11-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
13-7
vs HAVU
Mar 31
25-23
vs OG
Mar 15
13-6
vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 14
M80
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 4
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
13-3
vs Monte
Apr 2
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 1
13-3
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 30
More from IEM Atlanta 2026
5 matches