Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-08
MIBR
✗
vs
B8
88%
12%
Series win probability
MIBR
2–0
49%
MIBR
2–1
39%
B8
2–0
9%
B8
2–1
3%
Actual result
Mirage
13–7
MIBR
Nuke
13–10
B8
Ancient
13–8
B8
Model Insights
MIBR is strongly favored at 88%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#18 vs #17), a strong ancient (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
54%
Inferno · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
25%
Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
20%
Mirage · Ancient · Overpass
Inferno
MIBR
13
–
7
B8
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Round Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Utility Score
MIBR
B8
Map Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Recent on Inferno
MIBR
8-13
vs BIG
Jun 7
13-2
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 4
6-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 2
5-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-1
vs B8
May 21
B8
13-11
vs GamerLegion
Jun 7
22-20
vs M80
Jun 3
1-13
vs MIBR
May 21
13-4
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 13
3-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 6
Mirage
MIBR
13
–
10
B8
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Round Win %
MIBR
B8
Elo Diff
MIBR
B8
Days With Lineup Opp
MIBR
B8
Recent on Mirage
MIBR
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 6
13-10
vs Liquid
Jun 3
12-16
vs Legacy
May 23
10-13
vs B8
May 21
13-6
vs PARIVISION
May 20
B8
8-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 7
10-13
vs M80
Jun 6
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 2
13-10
vs MIBR
May 21
13-9
vs The MongolZ
May 20
Ancient
MIBR
13
–
5
B8
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Flash Assists
MIBR
B8
Opening Kills
MIBR
B8
Best Player
MIBR
B8
Recent on Ancient
MIBR
1-13
vs MOUZ
May 23
13-2
vs B8
May 21
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 20
13-16
vs 3DMAX
Apr 9
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
B8
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 6
13-11
vs M80
Jun 3
20-22
vs MOUZ
May 22
2-13
vs MIBR
May 21
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 20
Mirage
MIBR
13
–
10
B8
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Round Win %
MIBR
B8
Elo Diff
MIBR
B8
Days With Lineup Opp
MIBR
B8
Recent on Mirage
MIBR
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 6
13-10
vs Liquid
Jun 3
12-16
vs Legacy
May 23
10-13
vs B8
May 21
13-6
vs PARIVISION
May 20
B8
8-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 7
10-13
vs M80
Jun 6
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 2
13-10
vs MIBR
May 21
13-9
vs The MongolZ
May 20
Ancient
MIBR
13
–
5
B8
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Flash Assists
MIBR
B8
Opening Kills
MIBR
B8
Best Player
MIBR
B8
Recent on Ancient
MIBR
1-13
vs MOUZ
May 23
13-2
vs B8
May 21
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 20
13-16
vs 3DMAX
Apr 9
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
B8
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 6
13-11
vs M80
Jun 3
20-22
vs MOUZ
May 22
2-13
vs MIBR
May 21
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 20
Nuke
MIBR
13
–
4
B8
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 1%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
After First Death
MIBR
B8
Utility Score
MIBR
B8
Map Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Recent on Nuke
MIBR
13-8
vs Legacy
Jun 6
16-14
vs TYLOO
Jun 2
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 9
13-9
vs Legacy
Apr 6
10-13
vs ShindeN
Mar 28
B8
13-11
vs GamerLegion
Jun 7
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 20
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 11
6-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 6
13-8
vs Astralis
Apr 5
Mirage
MIBR
13
–
10
B8
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Round Win %
MIBR
B8
Elo Diff
MIBR
B8
Days With Lineup Opp
MIBR
B8
Recent on Mirage
MIBR
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 6
13-10
vs Liquid
Jun 3
12-16
vs Legacy
May 23
10-13
vs B8
May 21
13-6
vs PARIVISION
May 20
B8
8-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 7
10-13
vs M80
Jun 6
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 2
13-10
vs MIBR
May 21
13-9
vs The MongolZ
May 20
Ancient
MIBR
13
–
5
B8
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Flash Assists
MIBR
B8
Opening Kills
MIBR
B8
Best Player
MIBR
B8
Recent on Ancient
MIBR
1-13
vs MOUZ
May 23
13-2
vs B8
May 21
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 20
13-16
vs 3DMAX
Apr 9
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
B8
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 6
13-11
vs M80
Jun 3
20-22
vs MOUZ
May 22
2-13
vs MIBR
May 21
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 20
Overpass
MIBR
13
–
9
B8
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
After First Death
MIBR
B8
Round Win %
MIBR
B8
Round Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Recent on Overpass
MIBR
3-13
vs MOUZ
May 23
11-13
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 4
8-13
vs ShindeN
Mar 28
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 1
B8
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-11
vs FUT
May 13
13-2
vs BC.Game
May 12
6-13
vs Aurora
Apr 15
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 14
Recent Results
last 11 matches
MIBR
B8
L
0-1
vs BIG
Inferno
Jun 7
8d ago
W
1-0
vs Legacy
Nuke
Jun 6
9d ago
L
0-1
vs Spirit
Mirage
Jun 6
9d ago
W
2-0
vs Lynn Vision
AnubisInferno
Jun 4
11d ago
W
1-0
vs Liquid
Mirage
Jun 3
12d ago
L
0-1
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Inferno
Jun 2
13d ago
W
1-0
vs TYLOO
Nuke
Jun 2
13d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
MirageInferno
May 23
23d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
OverpassAncient
May 23
23d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
InfernoMirageAncient
May 21
25d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncient
May 20
26d ago
W
2-1
vs GamerLegion
InfernoMirageNuke
Jun 7
8d ago
L
0-1
vs FUT
Ancient
Jun 6
9d ago
L
0-1
vs M80
Mirage
Jun 6
9d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
AncientInferno
Jun 3
12d ago
W
1-0
vs TYLOO
Mirage
Jun 2
13d ago
W
1-0
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Dust2
Jun 2
13d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
OverpassAncient
May 22
24d ago
L
1-2
vs MIBR
InfernoMirageAncient
May 21
25d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
26d ago
W
1-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Ancient
May 19
27d ago
W
2-0
vs FUT
AncientOverpass
May 13
33d ago
Player Matchups
MIBR
Ratings
B8
IN
insani
EntryADR 90.0KAST 75%
NP
npl
EntryADR 80.2KAST 71%
KL
kl1m
AWPADR 75.8KAST 76%
KE
kensizor
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 71%
LN
LNZ
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 73%
ES
esenthial
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 72%
VE
venomzera
RiflerADR 67.3KAST 72%
AL
alex666
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 72%
BR
brnz4n
RiflerADR 63.1KAST 71%
S1
s1zzi
AWPADR 68.3KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
MIBR
13
–
4
B8
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
After First Death
MIBR
B8
Utility Score
MIBR
B8
Map Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Recent on Nuke
MIBR
13-8
vs Legacy
Jun 6
16-14
vs TYLOO
Jun 2
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 9
13-9
vs Legacy
Apr 6
10-13
vs ShindeN
Mar 28
B8
13-11
vs GamerLegion
Jun 7
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 20
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 11
6-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 6
13-8
vs Astralis
Apr 5
Anubis
MIBR
13
–
4
B8
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
Round Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Ban Rate
MIBR
B8
Map Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Recent on Anubis
MIBR
13-5
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 4
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 19
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 7
13-10
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
14-16
vs Imperial
Mar 1
B8
3-13
vs FUT
Mar 9
7-13
vs Spirit
Mar 7
Overpass
MIBR
13
–
9
B8
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MIBR
B8
Map Player Rating
MIBR
B8
After First Death
MIBR
B8
Round Win %
MIBR
B8
Round Win Rate
MIBR
B8
Recent on Overpass
MIBR
3-13
vs MOUZ
May 23
11-13
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 4
8-13
vs ShindeN
Mar 28
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 1
B8
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-11
vs FUT
May 13
13-2
vs BC.Game
May 12
6-13
vs Aurora
Apr 15
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 14
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
5 matches