Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-14
MOUZ
✗
vs
FUT
52%
48%
Series win probability
MOUZ
2–1
40%
MOUZ
2–0
24%
FUT
2–0
23%
FUT
2–1
13%
Actual result
Ancient
13–11
FUT
Nuke
13–10
MOUZ
Mirage
13–7
FUT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — MOUZ is slightly favored at 52% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong overpass (75% win probability). FUT's best shot is nuke where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
47%
Nuke · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 2
28%
Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Nuke
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
FUT
8-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
8-13
vs paiN
May 12
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Mirage
MOUZ
13
–
10
FUT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
CT Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
FUT
13-9
vs B8
Jun 13
9-13
vs G2
Jun 12
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Overpass
MOUZ
13
–
7
FUT
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
T 5v4
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
7-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-3
vs MIBR
May 23
13-8
vs B8
May 22
13-3
vs M80
May 21
13-7
vs paiN
May 21
FUT
5-13
vs G2
Jun 12
2-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
7-13
vs G2
Jun 7
13-9
vs TYLOO
Jun 6
11-13
vs B8
May 13
Nuke
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
FUT
8-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
8-13
vs paiN
May 12
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Mirage
MOUZ
13
–
10
FUT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
CT Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
FUT
13-9
vs B8
Jun 13
9-13
vs G2
Jun 12
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Ancient
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
FUT
13-11
vs B8
Jun 13
13-6
vs G2
Jun 12
13-4
vs G2
Jun 7
13-11
vs B8
Jun 6
7-13
vs B8
May 13
Nuke
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
FUT
8-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
8-13
vs paiN
May 12
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Mirage
MOUZ
13
–
10
FUT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
CT Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
FUT
13-9
vs B8
Jun 13
9-13
vs G2
Jun 12
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Dust2
MOUZ
9
–
13
FUT
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Score
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
13-7
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
FUT
10-13
vs B8
Jun 13
11-13
vs paiN
May 12
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-3
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
Recent Results
last 11 matches
MOUZ
FUT
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Inferno
Jun 13
2d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
NukeInfernoOverpass
Jun 12
3d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
Jun 11
4d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
OverpassAncient
May 23
23d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
OverpassAncient
May 22
24d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
24d ago
W
2-1
vs M80
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
25d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeOverpass
May 21
25d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
26d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Inferno
May 19
27d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 17
29d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
Dust2MirageAncient
Jun 13
2d ago
L
1-2
vs G2
OverpassAncientMirage
Jun 12
3d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
AnubisOverpassNuke
Jun 11
4d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
AnubisOverpassAncient
Jun 7
8d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jun 6
9d ago
W
1-0
vs TYLOO
Overpass
Jun 6
9d ago
L
0-2
vs B8
AncientOverpass
May 13
33d ago
L
1-2
vs paiN
NukeOverpassDust2
May 12
34d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientOverpass
May 11
35d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
MirageNuke
Apr 30
46d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 29
47d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ
Ratings
FUT
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 85.4KAST 75%
DE
dem0n
RiflerADR 73.8KAST 73%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 71%
DZ
dziugss
EntryADR 78.2KAST 75%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 70.7KAST 72%
KR
Krabeni
RiflerADR 80.5KAST 70%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 64.0KAST 72%
CM
cmtry
AWPADR 66.8KAST 71%
LA
lauNX
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Dust2
MOUZ
9
–
13
FUT
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Score
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
13-7
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
FUT
10-13
vs B8
Jun 13
11-13
vs paiN
May 12
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-3
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
Ancient
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
FUT
13-11
vs B8
Jun 13
13-6
vs G2
Jun 12
13-4
vs G2
Jun 7
13-11
vs B8
Jun 6
7-13
vs B8
May 13
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
5 matches