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Bo3  ·  PGL Astana 2026 · 2026-05-09
MOUZ
vs
Gentle Mates
81%
19%
Series win probability
MOUZ 2–0 43%
MOUZ 2–1 38%
GM 2–0 12%
GM 2–1 7%
Actual result
Nuke 16–12 MOUZ
Mirage 13–4 GM
Ancient 13–5 MOUZ
Model Insights
MOUZ is strongly favored at 81%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#11 vs #40), a strong mirage (84% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 40% Inferno · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 2 35% Inferno · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3 25% Inferno · Mirage · Ancient
Inferno
MOUZ 13 10 GM
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Overall Rating
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
13-10 vs Legacy Apr 13
8-13 vs 9z Mar 21
3-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 19
13-3 vs HEROIC Mar 6
13-10 vs The MongolZ Feb 22
Gentle Mates
19-22 vs magic May 3
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
Overpass
MOUZ 13 7 GM
66%
34%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
13-10 vs FUT Mar 13
13-11 vs The MongolZ Mar 8
13-3 vs Astralis Mar 7
16-14 vs FUT Feb 17
13-3 vs PARIVISION Feb 14
Gentle Mates
10-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
3-13 vs G2 Apr 13
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
11-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
Mirage
MOUZ 13 4 GM
84%
16%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
8-13 vs Spirit Apr 17
5-13 vs FURIA Apr 15
13-8 vs Aurora Apr 14
13-4 vs Legacy Apr 13
11-13 vs FUT Mar 13
Gentle Mates
16-19 vs magic May 3
11-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
9-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
8-13 vs G2 Apr 13
Inferno
MOUZ 13 10 GM
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Overall Rating
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
13-10 vs Legacy Apr 13
8-13 vs 9z Mar 21
3-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 19
13-3 vs HEROIC Mar 6
13-10 vs The MongolZ Feb 22
Gentle Mates
19-22 vs magic May 3
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
Mirage
MOUZ 13 4 GM
84%
16%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
8-13 vs Spirit Apr 17
5-13 vs FURIA Apr 15
13-8 vs Aurora Apr 14
13-4 vs Legacy Apr 13
11-13 vs FUT Mar 13
Gentle Mates
16-19 vs magic May 3
11-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
9-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
8-13 vs G2 Apr 13
Nuke
MOUZ 9 13 GM
44%
56%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
9-13 vs 9z Mar 21
11-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 19
7-13 vs Vitality Feb 7
Gentle Mates
13-8 vs FOKUS May 2
10-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
4-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-7 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-16 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
Inferno
MOUZ 13 10 GM
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Overall Rating
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
13-10 vs Legacy Apr 13
8-13 vs 9z Mar 21
3-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 19
13-3 vs HEROIC Mar 6
13-10 vs The MongolZ Feb 22
Gentle Mates
19-22 vs magic May 3
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
Mirage
MOUZ 13 4 GM
84%
16%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
8-13 vs Spirit Apr 17
5-13 vs FURIA Apr 15
13-8 vs Aurora Apr 14
13-4 vs Legacy Apr 13
11-13 vs FUT Mar 13
Gentle Mates
16-19 vs magic May 3
11-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
9-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
8-13 vs G2 Apr 13
Ancient
MOUZ 13 6 GM
78%
22%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Map ADR
MOUZ
GM
Overall Rating
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1 vs The MongolZ Mar 8
14-16 vs Astralis Mar 7
10-13 vs Natus Vincere Feb 20
13-9 vs NRG Feb 1
Gentle Mates
13-11 vs FOKUS May 2
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
Recent Results last 11 matches
MOUZ
Gentle Mates
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Mirage Apr 17 59d ago
L 0-2 vs FURIA MirageDust2 Apr 15 61d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora Dust2Mirage Apr 14 62d ago
W 2-1 vs Legacy Dust2InfernoMirage Apr 13 63d ago
L 1-2 vs 9z Dust2InfernoNuke Mar 21 86d ago
L 0-2 vs The MongolZ NukeInferno Mar 19 88d ago
L 1-2 vs FUT Dust2OverpassMirage Mar 13 94d ago
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ AncientOverpass Mar 8 99d ago
W 2-1 vs Astralis AncientMirageOverpass Mar 7 100d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Dust2MirageInferno Mar 6 101d ago
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ MirageInferno Feb 22 113d ago
L 0-2 vs magic MirageInferno May 3 43d ago
W 2-0 vs FOKUS AncientNuke May 2 44d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL AncientInferno Apr 29 47d ago
W 2-0 vs 9INE AncientInferno Apr 26 50d ago
L 1-2 vs SINNERS InfernoMirageNuke Apr 26 50d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL MirageInferno Apr 25 51d ago
L 1-2 vs RED Canids MirageAncientOverpass Apr 14 62d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 InfernoMirageOverpass Apr 13 63d ago
L 1-2 vs 9INE AnubisNukeOverpass Apr 2 74d ago
L 1-2 vs ninjas in pyjamas NukeOverpassAncient Apr 1 75d ago
W 2-1 vs HYPERSPIRIT AnubisNukeAncient Mar 25 82d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ
Ratings
Gentle Mates
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 83.5KAST 73%
1.19 vs 1.16
MA
MartinezSa
AWPADR 76.5KAST 74%
SP
Spinx
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 73%
1.11 vs 1.13
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 77.5KAST 73%
JL
jL
EntryADR 77.7KAST 72%
1.11 vs 1.06
SA
sausol
EntryADR 74.1KAST 74%
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 74%
1.05 vs 1.05
AL
alex
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 72%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 65.0KAST 72%
0.97 vs 1.02
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
MOUZ 13 6 GM
78%
22%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Map ADR
MOUZ
GM
Overall Rating
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1 vs The MongolZ Mar 8
14-16 vs Astralis Mar 7
10-13 vs Natus Vincere Feb 20
13-9 vs NRG Feb 1
Gentle Mates
13-11 vs FOKUS May 2
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
Nuke
MOUZ 9 13 GM
44%
56%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
9-13 vs 9z Mar 21
11-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 19
7-13 vs Vitality Feb 7
Gentle Mates
13-8 vs FOKUS May 2
10-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
4-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-7 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-16 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
Anubis
MOUZ 14 16 GM
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
GM
Ranking
MOUZ
GM
Schedule Strength
MOUZ
GM
After First Death
MOUZ
GM
Opening Kills
MOUZ
GM
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ
no data
Gentle Mates
13-9 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-6 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
3-13 vs HOTU Feb 14
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Feb 13
13-6 vs gothboiclique Feb 12
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