Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-09
PARIVISION
vs
9z
✓
44%
56%
Series win probability
9Z
2–1
32%
PARI
2–0
26%
9Z
2–0
24%
PARI
2–1
18%
Actual result
Inferno
13–6
9Z
Ancient
13–8
9Z
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — 9z is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.11 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#19 vs #8), a strong inferno (65% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Dust2 · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 2
32%
Dust2 · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 3
31%
Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
Dust2
PARI
14
–
16
9Z
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
13-9
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
9z
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-8
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
Overpass
PARI
13
–
11
9Z
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
After First Death
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Recent on Overpass
PARIVISION
10-13
vs Vitality
Feb 22
3-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 14
11-13
vs Astralis
Feb 1
9z
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-3
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
6-13
vs Spirit
Mar 22
3-13
vs Vitality
Mar 19
Inferno
PARI
8
–
13
9Z
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Ranking
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Recent on Inferno
PARIVISION
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
16-14
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
13-10
vs Legacy
Apr 4
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 28
12-16
vs Vitality
Mar 23
9z
9-13
vs legacy
Apr 24
10-13
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Apr 1
5-13
vs legacy
Mar 30
Dust2
PARI
14
–
16
9Z
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
13-9
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
9z
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-8
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
Overpass
PARI
13
–
11
9Z
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
After First Death
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Recent on Overpass
PARIVISION
10-13
vs Vitality
Feb 22
3-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 14
11-13
vs Astralis
Feb 1
9z
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-3
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
6-13
vs Spirit
Mar 22
3-13
vs Vitality
Mar 19
Ancient
PARI
9
–
13
9Z
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
Recent on Ancient
PARIVISION
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-10
vs Falcons
Mar 27
13-8
vs Spirit
Mar 21
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 19
13-8
vs Falcons
Feb 20
9z
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-4
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
11-13
vs GameHunters
Mar 26
11-13
vs Marsborne
Mar 26
Dust2
PARI
14
–
16
9Z
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
13-9
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
9z
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-8
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
Overpass
PARI
13
–
11
9Z
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
After First Death
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Recent on Overpass
PARIVISION
10-13
vs Vitality
Feb 22
3-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 14
11-13
vs Astralis
Feb 1
9z
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-3
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
6-13
vs Spirit
Mar 22
3-13
vs Vitality
Mar 19
Mirage
PARI
14
–
16
9Z
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Ranking
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
28-26
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
6-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 4
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 28
9z
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs legacy
Mar 30
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 29
13-11
vs Sharks
Mar 1
13-5
vs ex-KRÜ
Feb 8
Recent Results
last 11 matches
PARIVISION
9z
L
1-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 9
67d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
MirageDust2
Apr 8
68d ago
L
0-2
vs 3DMAX
InfernoDust2
Apr 7
69d ago
L
0-2
vs FUT
Dust2Mirage
Apr 6
70d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
Dust2Inferno
Apr 5
71d ago
W
2-1
vs Legacy
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 4
72d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2InfernoMirage
Mar 28
79d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons
MirageAncient
Mar 27
80d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
MirageInferno
Mar 23
84d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
AnubisAncient
Mar 21
86d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirageDust2
Mar 19
88d ago
L
2-3
vs Legacy
AncientDust2MirageNukeAnubis
Apr 26
50d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 25
51d ago
L
0-2
vs legacy
InfernoNuke
Apr 24
52d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 23
53d ago
W
2-0
vs ALKA
Dust2Nuke
Apr 22
54d ago
W
3-1
vs ODDIK
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 3
73d ago
W
2-1
vs ODDIK
Dust2NukeInferno
Apr 2
74d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
InfernoNuke
Apr 1
75d ago
W
2-0
vs red canids academy
AncientOverpass
Mar 31
76d ago
W
3-2
vs legacy
Dust2AnubisInfernoMirageNuke
Mar 30
77d ago
W
2-1
vs Imperial
MirageDust2Inferno
Mar 29
78d ago
Player Matchups
PARIVISION
Ratings
9z
ZW
zweih
EntryADR 73.5KAST 73%
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 83.8KAST 73%
JA
Jame
AWPADR 70.0KAST 73%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 79.7KAST 74%
XI
xiELO
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 69%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 74%
BE
BELCHONOKK
RiflerADR 65.3KAST 69%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 61.7KAST 74%
NO
nota
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 70%
MA
max
RiflerADR 64.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
PARI
13
–
7
9Z
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Ranking
PARI
9Z
After First Death
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Recent on Anubis
PARIVISION
13-3
vs Spirit
Mar 21
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs legacy
Mar 30
Ancient
PARI
9
–
13
9Z
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
9Z
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Overall Rating
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
Recent on Ancient
PARIVISION
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-10
vs Falcons
Mar 27
13-8
vs Spirit
Mar 21
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 19
13-8
vs Falcons
Feb 20
9z
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-4
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
11-13
vs GameHunters
Mar 26
11-13
vs Marsborne
Mar 26
Mirage
PARI
14
–
16
9Z
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
9Z
Ranking
PARI
9Z
Schedule Strength
PARI
9Z
Map ADR
PARI
9Z
Round Win Rate
PARI
9Z
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
28-26
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
6-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 4
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 28
9z
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs legacy
Mar 30
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 29
13-11
vs Sharks
Mar 1
13-5
vs ex-KRÜ
Feb 8
More from PGL Astana 2026
5 matches