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Bo3  ·  PGL Astana 2026 · 2026-05-09
FURIA ✓
vs
Monte
61%
39%
Series win probability
FURI 2–0 35%
FURI 2–1 26%
MONT 2–1 23%
MONT 2–0 17%
Actual result
Nuke 13–3 FURI
Overpass 13–3 FURI
Model Insights
FURIA has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 37% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 2 33% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3 29% Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Dust2
FURI 13 – 11 MONT
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Pick Rate
FURI
MONT
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
Monte
13-6 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-9 vs HEROIC Apr 26
16-14 vs HEROIC Apr 25
13-7 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-8 vs Betclic Apr 23
Mirage
FURI 13 – 10 MONT
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Death
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
10-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
Monte
8-13 vs HEROIC Apr 25
10-13 vs M80 Apr 2
11-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-10 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
7-13 vs fnatic Feb 21
Nuke
FURI 13 – 11 MONT
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Map ADR
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
16-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
10-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
13-2 vs NRG Mar 22
Monte
14-16 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-0 vs HEROIC Apr 26
9-13 vs HEROIC Apr 25
10-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-4 vs Betclic Apr 23
Dust2
FURI 13 – 11 MONT
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Pick Rate
FURI
MONT
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
Monte
13-6 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-9 vs HEROIC Apr 26
16-14 vs HEROIC Apr 25
13-7 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-8 vs Betclic Apr 23
Mirage
FURI 13 – 10 MONT
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Death
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
10-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
Monte
8-13 vs HEROIC Apr 25
10-13 vs M80 Apr 2
11-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-10 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
7-13 vs fnatic Feb 21
Inferno
FURI 13 – 9 MONT
68%
32%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Map ADR
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-5 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
13-3 vs Passion UA Apr 13
6-13 vs Aurora Mar 20
4-13 vs Astralis Mar 10
13-6 vs paiN Mar 9
Monte
5-13 vs HEROIC Apr 26
13-8 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs 9INE Mar 25
1-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-7 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
Dust2
FURI 13 – 11 MONT
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Pick Rate
FURI
MONT
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
Monte
13-6 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-9 vs HEROIC Apr 26
16-14 vs HEROIC Apr 25
13-7 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-8 vs Betclic Apr 23
Mirage
FURI 13 – 10 MONT
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Death
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
10-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
Monte
8-13 vs HEROIC Apr 25
10-13 vs M80 Apr 2
11-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-10 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
7-13 vs fnatic Feb 21
Overpass
FURI 13 – 10 MONT
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Death
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 18
3-13 vs HEROIC Mar 8
8-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 7
13-2 vs B8 Mar 6
Monte
3-13 vs 9INE Mar 25
11-13 vs FaZe Mar 8
16-19 vs fnatic Feb 21
Recent Results last 11 matches
FURIA
Monte
L 1-2 vs FaZe Dust2MirageNuke Apr 30 46d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion InfernoNukeMirage Apr 29 47d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Dust2Mirage Apr 19 57d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality OverpassAncient Apr 18 58d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ MirageDust2 Apr 15 61d ago
W 2-1 vs Natus Vincere MirageDust2Nuke Apr 14 62d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA InfernoMirage Apr 13 63d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageDust2Nuke Mar 23 84d ago
W 2-1 vs NRG MirageNukeDust2 Mar 22 85d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora Dust2Inferno Mar 20 87d ago
W 2-0 vs TYLOO MirageOverpass Mar 18 89d ago
W 2-1 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas NukeDust2Anubis Apr 26 50d ago
W 3-1 vs HEROIC NukeDust2InfernoAncient Apr 26 50d ago
L 1-2 vs HEROIC NukeDust2Mirage Apr 25 51d ago
W 2-1 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas NukeDust2Anubis Apr 24 52d ago
W 2-0 vs Betclic NukeDust2 Apr 23 53d ago
L 1-2 vs M80 InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 74d ago
W 2-0 vs M80 AncientDust2 Apr 1 75d ago
W 2-0 vs Alliance AnubisNuke Mar 31 76d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA AnubisDust2 Mar 31 76d ago
W 2-0 vs HAVU NukeDust2 Mar 30 77d ago
W 2-1 vs 9INE OverpassDust2Inferno Mar 25 82d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
Monte
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 78.5KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.22
AF
afro
AWPADR 79.4KAST 74%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 72.7KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.16
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.9KAST 74%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.03
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 74%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 66.0KAST 72%
0.94 vs 0.95
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 70.1KAST 69%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 61.9KAST 70%
0.88 vs 0.94
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
FURI 13 – 9 MONT
68%
32%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Map ADR
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-5 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
13-3 vs Passion UA Apr 13
6-13 vs Aurora Mar 20
4-13 vs Astralis Mar 10
13-6 vs paiN Mar 9
Monte
5-13 vs HEROIC Apr 26
13-8 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs 9INE Mar 25
1-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-7 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
Ancient
FURI 10 – 13 MONT
43%
57%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
After First Death
FURI
MONT
Ranking
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
Monte
13-10 vs HEROIC Apr 26
13-4 vs M80 Apr 1
6-13 vs legacy Mar 7
3-13 vs Astralis Mar 1
13-7 vs ECSTATIC Feb 14
Overpass
FURI 13 – 10 MONT
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Ranking
FURI
MONT
After First Death
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 18
3-13 vs HEROIC Mar 8
8-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 7
13-2 vs B8 Mar 6
Monte
3-13 vs 9INE Mar 25
11-13 vs FaZe Mar 8
16-19 vs fnatic Feb 21
Anubis
FURI 14 – 16 MONT
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
MONT
Ranking
FURI
MONT
Overall Rating
FURI
MONT
Schedule Strength
FURI
MONT
Map Win Rate
FURI
MONT
Recent on Anubis
FURIA
11-13 vs Falcons Feb 16
13-9 vs FUT Feb 15
Monte
13-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-11 vs Alliance Mar 31
13-8 vs Passion UA Mar 31
10-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
More from PGL Astana 2026 5 matches
MOUZ over Gentle Mates 81% The MongolZ over magic 56% Falcons over K27 67% Spirit over The Huns 75% 9z over PARIVISION 56%