Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-09
Spirit
✓
vs
The Huns
75%
25%
Series win probability
SPIR
2–0
44%
SPIR
2–1
31%
TH
2–1
14%
TH
2–0
11%
Actual result
Dust2
13–6
SPIR
Ancient
13–3
SPIR
Model Insights
Spirit is strongly favored at 75%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#5 vs #84), a strong dust2 (69% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
35%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3
27%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
7
TH
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Round Win Rate
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
5-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
13-11
vs Liquid
Apr 13
The Huns
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-10
vs Sensation
Mar 20
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
10
TH
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Death
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Round Win Rate
SPIR
TH
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-9
vs B8
Mar 7
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
7-13
vs FURIA
Feb 7
The Huns
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
10-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-11
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-6
vs XDM
Apr 1
Ancient
SPIR
13
–
8
TH
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Map Firepower
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Recent on Ancient
Spirit
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-2
vs Liquid
Apr 13
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-11
vs Liquid
Mar 19
7-13
vs Astralis
Mar 13
The Huns
13-6
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
4-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-8
vs VTM
Mar 31
6-13
vs 5star
Mar 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ Academy
Mar 16
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
7
TH
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Round Win Rate
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
5-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
13-11
vs Liquid
Apr 13
The Huns
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-10
vs Sensation
Mar 20
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
10
TH
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Death
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Round Win Rate
SPIR
TH
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-9
vs B8
Mar 7
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
7-13
vs FURIA
Feb 7
The Huns
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
10-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-11
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-6
vs XDM
Apr 1
Overpass
SPIR
13
–
5
TH
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
After First Death
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Recent on Overpass
Spirit
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
8-13
vs G2
Feb 3
The Huns
13-4
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
13-7
vs The MongolZ Academy
Mar 16
25-21
vs Chinggis Warriors
Feb 26
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 6
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 5
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
7
TH
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Round Win Rate
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
5-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
13-11
vs Liquid
Apr 13
The Huns
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-10
vs Sensation
Mar 20
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
10
TH
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Death
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Round Win Rate
SPIR
TH
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-9
vs B8
Mar 7
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
7-13
vs FURIA
Feb 7
The Huns
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
10-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-11
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-6
vs XDM
Apr 1
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
7
TH
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Overall Rating
SPIR
TH
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-4
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-8
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
8-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-7
vs G2
Apr 15
The Huns
6-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
22-19
vs XDM
Apr 1
3-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-4
vs VTM
Mar 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Spirit
The Huns
L
0-3
vs Vitality
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 19
57d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
58d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 17
59d ago
W
2-1
vs RED Canids
MirageAncientOverpass
Apr 15
61d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
MirageDust2
Apr 15
61d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
62d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AncientDust2
Apr 13
63d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
NukeOverpass
Mar 23
84d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
OverpassDust2
Mar 22
85d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
AnubisAncient
Mar 21
86d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
MirageAncient
Mar 19
88d ago
L
0-2
vs NEXVOID
Dust2Nuke
Apr 29
47d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
MirageNuke
Apr 3
73d ago
W
3-0
vs DEPO
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 2
74d ago
W
2-0
vs Chinggis Warriors
NukeDust2
Apr 1
75d ago
W
2-1
vs NEXVOID
Dust2NukeAncient
Apr 1
75d ago
W
2-0
vs XDM
MirageNuke
Apr 1
75d ago
L
1-2
vs Chinggis Warriors
MirageNukeAncient
Apr 1
75d ago
W
2-0
vs VTM
MirageAncient
Mar 31
76d ago
L
1-2
vs NEXVOID
NukeOverpassInferno
Mar 31
76d ago
W
2-0
vs Sensation
Dust2Nuke
Mar 20
87d ago
L
1-2
vs NEXVOID
Dust2NukeInferno
Mar 20
87d ago
Player Matchups
Spirit
Ratings
The Huns
DO
donk
EntryADR 92.7KAST 76%
SK
sk0R
EntryADR 82.7KAST 71%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 76.4KAST 76%
NI
nin9
AWPADR 73.7KAST 71%
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 73.3KAST 71%
XE
xerolte
RiflerADR 75.6KAST 71%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 65.4KAST 73%
CO
controlez
RiflerADR 78.3KAST 70%
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 64.5KAST 72%
BA
Bart4k
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
SPIR
13
–
4
TH
89%
11%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Map ADR
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Recent on Anubis
Spirit
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-10
vs G2
Mar 8
13-7
vs B8
Mar 7
13-8
vs G2
Feb 3
The Huns
no data
Overpass
SPIR
13
–
5
TH
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
After First Death
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
Recent on Overpass
Spirit
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
8-13
vs G2
Feb 3
The Huns
13-4
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
13-7
vs The MongolZ Academy
Mar 16
25-21
vs Chinggis Warriors
Feb 26
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 6
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 5
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
7
TH
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SPIR
TH
Entry Score
SPIR
TH
After First Kill
SPIR
TH
Schedule Strength
SPIR
TH
Overall Rating
SPIR
TH
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-4
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-8
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
8-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-7
vs G2
Apr 15
The Huns
6-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
22-19
vs XDM
Apr 1
3-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-4
vs VTM
Mar 31
More from PGL Astana 2026
5 matches