Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-09
Falcons
✓
vs
K27
67%
33%
Series win probability
FALC
2–1
36%
FALC
2–0
30%
K27
2–0
20%
K27
2–1
13%
Actual result
Dust2
13–5
FALC
Ancient
13–11
FALC
Model Insights
Falcons has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.14 vs 1.09), a significant ranking advantage (#3 vs #36), a strong ancient (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
35%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
31%
Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
FALC
13
–
11
K27
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Overall Rating
FALC
K27
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
11-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
K27
11-13
vs WW
Apr 5
13-9
vs magic
Apr 3
13-11
vs 1win
Apr 2
13-10
vs Lavked
Apr 1
13-6
vs WW
Mar 31
Dust2
FALC
13
–
11
K27
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Round Win Rate
FALC
K27
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-16
vs FURIA
Mar 23
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
K27
8-13
vs BET-M
Apr 5
7-13
vs WW
Apr 5
13-6
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 3
12-16
vs magic
Apr 3
10-13
vs magic
Apr 2
Ancient
FALC
13
–
7
K27
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
Round Win Rate
FALC
K27
Overall Rating
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
10-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
13-1
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
13-6
vs NRG
Mar 18
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Feb 20
K27
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 4
13-9
vs magic
Apr 3
9-13
vs magic
Apr 2
7-13
vs 1win
Mar 25
13-5
vs G2 Ares
Mar 19
Mirage
FALC
13
–
11
K27
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Overall Rating
FALC
K27
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
11-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
K27
11-13
vs WW
Apr 5
13-9
vs magic
Apr 3
13-11
vs 1win
Apr 2
13-10
vs Lavked
Apr 1
13-6
vs WW
Mar 31
Dust2
FALC
13
–
11
K27
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Round Win Rate
FALC
K27
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-16
vs FURIA
Mar 23
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
K27
8-13
vs BET-M
Apr 5
7-13
vs WW
Apr 5
13-6
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 3
12-16
vs magic
Apr 3
10-13
vs magic
Apr 2
Nuke
FALC
13
–
7
K27
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Death
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Map ADR
FALC
K27
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
K27
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 5
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 4
13-11
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 3
13-4
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
25-21
vs Nemesis
Mar 23
Mirage
FALC
13
–
11
K27
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Overall Rating
FALC
K27
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
11-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
K27
11-13
vs WW
Apr 5
13-9
vs magic
Apr 3
13-11
vs 1win
Apr 2
13-10
vs Lavked
Apr 1
13-6
vs WW
Mar 31
Dust2
FALC
13
–
11
K27
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Round Win Rate
FALC
K27
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-16
vs FURIA
Mar 23
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
K27
8-13
vs BET-M
Apr 5
7-13
vs WW
Apr 5
13-6
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 3
12-16
vs magic
Apr 3
10-13
vs magic
Apr 2
Anubis
FALC
13
–
7
K27
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Round Win Rate
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
K27
6-13
vs magic
Apr 3
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
13-8
vs big
Mar 20
13-9
vs Inner Circle
Mar 19
13-8
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 17
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
K27
W
2-0
vs FURIA
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
57d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 15
61d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
62d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoAncient
Apr 13
63d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncient
Mar 27
80d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageDust2Nuke
Mar 23
84d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
InfernoAncientMirage
Mar 22
85d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
MirageInfernoDust2
Mar 20
87d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientDust2
Mar 18
89d ago
L
1-2
vs PARIVISION
Dust2MirageAncient
Feb 20
115d ago
L
0-2
vs BET-M
NukeDust2
Apr 5
71d ago
L
0-2
vs WW
MirageDust2
Apr 5
71d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
AncientNuke
Apr 4
72d ago
W
2-1
vs 100 Thieves
OverpassNukeDust2
Apr 3
73d ago
L
2-3
vs magic
AncientMirageDust2OverpassAnubis
Apr 3
73d ago
L
0-2
vs magic
Dust2Ancient
Apr 2
74d ago
W
2-0
vs 1win
Dust2Mirage
Apr 2
74d ago
W
2-0
vs Lavked
MirageDust2
Apr 1
75d ago
W
2-0
vs WW
MirageDust2
Mar 31
76d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemiga
OverpassNukeAnubis
Mar 26
81d ago
L
0-2
vs 1win
OverpassAncient
Mar 25
82d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
K27
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.8KAST 79%
FA
fame
EntryADR 79.5KAST 76%
KY
kyousuke
EntryADR 80.3KAST 73%
QW
qw1nk1
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 74%
NI
NiKo
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 73%
XE
xeedo
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 73%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 74%
KA
kashl1d
AWPADR 64.7KAST 71%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 64.9KAST 65%
X5
X5G7V
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
FALC
13
–
3
K27
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Death
FALC
K27
Map ADR
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
13-4
vs FURIA
Feb 16
14-16
vs MOUZ
Feb 3
K27
no data
Nuke
FALC
13
–
7
K27
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Death
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Map ADR
FALC
K27
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
K27
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 5
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 4
13-11
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 3
13-4
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
25-21
vs Nemesis
Mar 23
Anubis
FALC
13
–
7
K27
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
K27
Ranking
FALC
K27
After First Kill
FALC
K27
Round Win Rate
FALC
K27
Schedule Strength
FALC
K27
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
K27
6-13
vs magic
Apr 3
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
13-8
vs big
Mar 20
13-9
vs Inner Circle
Mar 19
13-8
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 17
More from PGL Astana 2026
5 matches